Geopolitical instability is raising risk of ‘catastrophic cyberattack’: WEF study 

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Updated 18 January 2023
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Geopolitical instability is raising risk of ‘catastrophic cyberattack’: WEF study 

  • “Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2023” report is based interviews with experts and executives
  • Majority of those surveyed warn a critical skills gap threatens societies and key infrastructure

DAVOS: The risk of catastrophic cyberattacks is soaring because of geopolitical instability, according to a report launched at the World Economic Forum’s annual meeting in Davos on Wednesday.

More than 93 percent of cybersecurity experts and 86 percent of business leaders, who were interviewed for the report, believe that “a far-reaching, catastrophic cyber event is likely in the next two years,” and that there is a critical skills gap threatening societies and key infrastructure.

The “Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2023” report is based on polls, workshops and interviews with more than 300 experts and senior executives. Half of the companies surveyed said the current landscape is making them reevaluate the countries in which they do business.

Despite challenges, organizations are improving cyber resilience, one of the key priorities of the WEF’s Centre for Cybersecurity.

The report said that awareness and preparation would help organizations balance the value of new technology against the cyber risk that comes with it.

It highlighted the need to address the shortage of talent and skilled experts. A significant 34 percent of cybersecurity experts said they lacked some skills in their team, while 14 percent said they lacked critical skills.

The problem is more pronounced in key sectors such as energy utilities, where nearly 25 percent of the cybersecurity experts surveyed said they lacked the necessary critical skills to protect their organizations’ operations.

Expanding the cybersecurity talent pool is needed to solve this problem, according to “Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2023,” which was written in collaboration with Accenture.

Several successful cybersecurity skills programs are underway around the world, but many have difficulty scaling to large numbers. Greater cross-industry collaboration and public-private partnerships are needed to overcome this challenge.

Geopolitics is reshaping the legal, regulatory and technological environment. “As global instability increases cyber risk, this report calls for a renewed focus on cooperation,” Jeremy Jurgens, managing director of the WEF, said.

“All stakeholders from public and private sectors who are responsible for our common digital infrastructure must work together to build security, resilience and trust.”

A WEF news release that accompanied the launch of “Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2023” highlighted the views of leading industry figures on a range of topics.

“The research shows that business leaders are now more aware of their organizations’ cyber risks. However, there is the need to go further to assessing and translating the business risk into actionable next steps across the entire organization,” Paolo Dal Cin, global lead of Accenture Security, said.

“Long-term cyber resilience requires a closely coordinated team effort across the C-suite to gain a clearer view of the cyber risks so security can be embedded in all strategic business priorities and protect the digital core. As our digitally connected world expands, now is the time to build cyber resilient businesses for customers, employees and supply chain partners.”

Commenting on the skills gap, Ken Xie, chairman of the board and CEO of Fortinet, said: “The threat landscape continues to expand and evolve with cyber adversaries targeting organizations of all sizes, locations and industries around the world.

“The disruption of operations or services and the compromise of data due to cyberattacks against the backdrop of a global skills gap places every individual, organization and even nation at risk. When we work together to encourage best practices we see greater progress in the fight against cybercrime.

“Shared data and trusted global partnerships can enable more effective responses and better predict future attack strategies to deter adversary efforts.”

Leaders are now more likely than one year ago to see data privacy laws and cybersecurity regulations as an effective tool for reducing cyber risks across a sector. But speed is clearly an issue.

On the question of regulation, Hoda Al-Khzaimi, director of the Center for Cybersecurity and founder and director of Emartsec at New York University, Abu Dhabi, said: “Standardization can take 18 months but a cyberattack takes seconds. The speed at which emerging technologies are implemented often outpaces our ability to build security measures around them. We need to go beyond simple compliance with regulations if organizations are to be cyber-resilient.”

Underscoring the importance of investing in cybersecurity, Nikesh Arora, CEO and chairman of Palo Alto Networks, said: “Cyberattackers don’t rest with macro-economic challenges, they double down on them. There is no path to success that is not heavily driven by AI and automation.

“As companies accelerate their digital transformation journeys, the time for reimagining and investing in cybersecurity architectures — intelligent platforms — is now. Boards and the C-suite must embrace a strategy whereby cybersecurity is deeply embedded across the enterprise from operations to innovation. Only then will organizations be able to create a state of resilience that enables, not inhibits, their strategic business outcomes.”

A lingering, vexing challenge is how to price cybersecurity, according to the “Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2023” report. It quoted one survey respondent as saying: “Board members are interested in risk, opportunities and investment in cost.

“We need to better respond to the question(s), What is the return? How do I know this is a good investment across the myriad of things that I could potentially be invested in? How can we improve at making effective metrics to help boards make better-informed decisions?”

Cybersecurity is also influencing strategic business decisions, with 50 percent of participants in the research saying that it was a consideration when they evaluated which countries in which to invest and do business.

Compared with last year, the report found that board-level executives are more likely to prioritize cyber risk and are more aware of their own role in addressing it. This has led to increased interaction with cybersecurity leaders, “cyber leaders, business leaders and boards of directors are now communicating more directly and more often.” The bad news is that they “continue to speak different languages.”

All too often, according to the report, when security and business leaders discuss cybersecurity, the rapidly evolving contours of cyber risks get lost in translation. Chief information security officers may fail to convey the complex data they have gathered — on risk points, threat actors, mapping of criminal campaigns — into an accessible story that results in specific mitigating actions in their organizations.

Instead, they need to tell stories that align with their corporate and business priorities. “Boards should be presented with a cyber posture that resonates with customers’ and authorities’ expectations and helps address sectorial ecosystem challenges,” said Christophe Blassiau, senior vice-president of cybersecurity and global chief information security officer at Schneider Electric.

Despite this challenge, “Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2023” reports that the disconnect between cybersecurity managers and business executives has begun to close. Both increasingly perceive the elevated degree of risk exposure and are allocating more resources to coordinate responses in an effective manner, it said, adding that the priority today is on speed.


PIF assets rise 18% to $1.15tn as portfolio firms drive growth 

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PIF assets rise 18% to $1.15tn as portfolio firms drive growth 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund boosted its total assets to SR4.32 trillion ($1.15 trillion) by the end of 2024, an 18 percent increase compared to the previous year, according to a disclosure filed with the London Stock Exchange.

The sovereign wealth fund reported gross revenues of SR413 billion for 2024, reflecting a 25 percent year-on-year rise. This growth was fueled by solid performance across several portfolio companies, including Savvy, Ma’aden, stc, Saudi National Bank, AviLease, and Gulf International Bank, as well as dividend income from Saudi Aramco.

PIF, often described as the financial engine of Saudi Arabia, plays a central role in advancing the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 goals to diversify the economy and reduce dependency on oil income.

“Long-term projects, that are beginning to mature, are also now generating significantly more revenue,” the disclosure document stated.

Despite global macroeconomic challenges such as high interest rates, inflationary pressure, and select asset impairments, the fund reported a net profit of SR26 billion in 2024.

The filing clarified that the impairments were “primarily related to changes to operational plans and increases in budgeted costs and represent less than a 2 percent reduction in total assets.”

PIF’s cash reserves held steady at SR316 billion, while loans and borrowings rose modestly to SR570 billion, reflecting continued diversification of its funding sources via international capital markets.

In 2024, the fund issued $2 billion in dollar-denominated sukuk and launched its first-ever sterling bond worth £650 million ($825.5 million). It also refinanced a $15 billion revolving credit facility, underlining market confidence in its creditworthiness and long-term investment outlook.

PIF’s debt ratio remained unchanged at 13 percent by the end of the year, the disclosure noted.

“Over 2024, PIF continued to advance its position as one of the world’s most impactful investors, while driving economic transformation in Saudi Arabia,” the document added.

It highlighted strategic progress in sectors such as leisure and tourism, industrial capabilities, capital markets, and the development of new industries.

Among standout performers, AviLease recorded a 350 percent surge in net profit to SR228 million and a 306 percent rise in revenue to SR2.1 billion. The aircraft leasing company expanded its fleet to 189 aircraft, comprising 163 owned, 22 managed, and four on order.

Meanwhile, Alat — another PIF-backed firm — invested SR401 million to establish an AI-driven robotics manufacturing facility in the Kingdom through a joint venture with SoftBank Robotics.


Riyadh leads Saudi Arabia’s commercial real estate growth with 23% rise in office rents

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Riyadh leads Saudi Arabia’s commercial real estate growth with 23% rise in office rents

  • Average rents for office spaces in Riyadh saw an annual rise of 23%
  • Jeddah’s total office stock is expected to rise 1.8 million sq. meters by 2027

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s commercial real estate sector is witnessing exponential growth, with rents for Grade A office spaces in the Kingdom’s capital reaching SR2,700 ($719.95) per sq. meter by the end of March, an analysis showed. 

In its latest report, global real estate consultancy Knight Frank said average rents for office spaces in Riyadh witnessed an annual rise of 23 percent by the end of the first quarter, driven by the success of government-led initiatives, including the ambitious regional headquarters program.

Strengthening the real estate sector is one of the key goals outlined in Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 agenda, as the nation aims to position itself as a leading business and tourism destination by the end of the decade. 

The Kingdom’s Real Estate General Authority expects the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, with an anticipated compound annual growth rate of 8 percent from 2024.

Saudi Arabia’s regional headquarters program offers benefits to international firms, including a 30-year exemption from corporate income tax. File/SPA

“Saudi Arabia’s economic momentum continued to strengthen across key sectors in 2024, underpinned by rising private sector activity,” said Faisal Durrani, partner — head of research for the Middle East and North Africa at Knight Frank. 

According to the report, the Kingdom’s Grade A office rents witnessed an occupancy level of 98 percent by the end of March. 

Grade B rents grew by 24 percent year on year by the end of the first quarter, while the occupancy level of these spaces stood at 97 percent. 

Grade A office spaces command higher rents than the area average, thanks to their prime locations, modern infrastructure, and newer construction.

In contrast, Grade B office spaces are more affordable, offering a lower-cost alternative to Grade A units.

Average daily rate in Madinah reached SR891 by the end of the first quarter. File/SPA

The report further said that around 600 companies have announced plans to establish their regional headquarters by the end of February, significantly boosting demand for prime office spaces. 

Saudi Arabia’s regional headquarters program offers benefits to international firms, including a 30-year exemption from corporate income tax and withholding tax on headquarters activities, as well as discounts and support services. 

“A total of 14,303 foreign business investment licenses were issued during 2024, a 67 percent increase from 2023, marking the highest annual figure on record and underscoring the sustained appeal of Saudi Arabia to global corporates and investors,” said Durrani. 

The analysis added that Jeddah is also experiencing significant growth in the commercial real estate sector, with both Grade A and Grade B occupancies reaching 95 percent by the end of March. 

Knight Frank said Grade A office rents in Jeddah reached SR1,280 per sq. meter, marking a 4 percent year-on-year growth, while Grade B office rents grew by 6 percent to reach SR845 per sq. meter. 

Jeddah’s total office stock is expected to rise from 1.6 million sq. meters this year to 1.8 million sq. meters by 2027.

“As more companies expand their footprint across Saudi Arabia, Jeddah is attracting a growing number of regional and local firms. This rising interest is being supported by a healthy office development pipeline,” said James Hodgetts, partner — occupier strategy and solutions at Knight Frank.

The Saudi Real Estate General Authority expects the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029. Saudipedia

He added: “Upcoming projects include Jeddah Gate, which is expected to deliver 230,000 sq. meters between 2025 and 2028, and Jeddah Rose, a mixed-use development bringing 25,000 sq. meters of office space to the market by the end of 2025.” 

In May, Jeddah Municipality announced 29 new investment opportunities spanning over 1.4 million sq. meters, targeting sectors including commercial, industrial, residential, and recreational.

The package includes 13 commercial opportunities featuring the development and operation of retail shops and commercial complexes across various districts.

In April, a separate report released by credit rating agency S&P Global said that the Kingdom’s retail real estate market is poised for growth in the near term, driven by population growth, expanding tourism, and economic diversification efforts under the Vision 2030 initiative. 

S&P Global added that ongoing mega projects and the expansion of international brands are expected to propel further demand for retail space nationwide.

Hospitality overview

According to the study, the average daily rate in Saudi Arabia’s hospitality sector increased by 10.8 percent year on year by the end of March, while revenue per available room increased by 12.3 percent during the same period. 

Growth of the Kingdom’s hospitality sector was largely driven by gains in the nation’s holy cities and Riyadh. File/SPA

The report said the growth of the Kingdom’s hospitality sector was largely driven by gains in the nation’s holy cities and Riyadh. 

In the first quarter of 2025, ADR in Makkah rose by 28.9 percent year on year to SR859, while RevPAR was up by 35.7 percent to SR673.

Citing data from the Ministry of Hajj, Knight Frank said the surge in performance in Makkah reflected heightened demand linked to the rise in issued Umrah visas, which grew by 8.3 percent. 

With more than 8,500 rooms under construction across 12 hotel developments, Makkah’s total inventory is set to increase from 63,428 to 71,643 rooms by 2027, the report added. 

According to the analysis, ADR in Madinah reached SR891 by the end of the first quarter, representing an 11.8 percent year-on-year rise, while RevPAR rose by 15.1 percent to SR724. 

Madinah currently has 20,673 hotel rooms, and an additional 2,100 keys are expected to be delivered by 2027. Major international operators continue to expand their presence, including Hilton and Marriott, with planned openings totaling over 6,000 rooms.

Rua Al-Madinah, a new giga-project situated east of the Prophet’s Mosque, is also poised to reshape the hospitality landscape, with over 47,000 planned hotel rooms. 

“These latest figures point to resilient demand amid limited new supply and further highlight Madinah’s pricing strength,” said Amar Hussain, associate partner — research, Middle East at Knight Frank. 

Jeddah is also experiencing significant growth in the commercial real estate sector. File/SPA

He added: “Pilgrim arrivals in the city are expected to reach 30 million by 2030, up from 17.3 million in 2025, reflecting the city’s growing role as a global hub for religious tourism.” 

Data Centers

Knight Frank said Saudi Arabia is positioning itself as the Middle East’s leading data hub, with plans to grow its data center market from $1.78 billion in 2023 to $3.2 billion by 2029, representing a compound annual growth rate of 10.1 percent.

The report noted that Saudi Arabia’s total IT capacity is expected to increase from around 250-300 megawatts in 2024 to more than 1,000-MW by 2030, driven by strategic government initiatives and substantial investment in digital infrastructure. 

During the LEAP 2025 conference in February, Cathy Mauzaize, US-based software firm ServiceNow’s president for Europe, the Middle East and Africa, said that the company is set to launch data centers in the Kingdom in 2026. 

In the same month, Alfanar Global Development also announced a $1.4 billion investment plan to develop four world-class data centers in Saudi Arabia. 

Knight Frank added that all tier-one US cloud providers, including Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, and Oracle, have either launched operations or announced further expansions in the Kingdom. 

Amazon Web Services alone has committed $5.3 billion to scale up its cloud services across key cities.

Chinese firms such as Alibaba Cloud and Huawei Cloud have also established a local presence.

“Saudi Arabia is now the fastest growing market for data centers as the country continues its drive toward national digitalization,” said Stephen Beard, global head of data centers at Knight Frank. 

He added: “The Kingdom’s development of data center infrastructure has been driven largely by adoption of public cloud and sustained public and private investment, transforming it into one of the top five global AI superpowers — evident in the recent launch of the $100 billion Transcendence AI Initiative.” 

Saudi Arabia launched Project Transcendence in November, a $100 billion AI initiative aimed at building data centers, supporting startups, and developing infrastructure. 

The initiative promises to bring together expertise, infrastructure, and innovation to position the Kingdom at the forefront of AI advancements.


Saudi banks post 5.4% loan growth in Q1 as lending accelerates

Updated 16 min 5 sec ago
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Saudi banks post 5.4% loan growth in Q1 as lending accelerates

  • Alvarez & Marsal report says growth primarily driven by 7.5% increase in corporate lending
  • Loan-to-deposit ratio climbed to 106.1%, up from 104.7% in the previous quarter

RIYADH: Net loans and advances across the Saudi Arabia’s 10 largest listed banks rose by 5.4 percent in the first quarter of 2025, underscoring robust lending momentum at the start of the year.

According to Alvarez & Marsal’s latest KSA Banking Pulse report, this growth was primarily driven by a 7.5 percent increase in corporate lending, which continues to represent more than half of total gross loans.

The banking sector’s strong start reflects the wider strength of Saudi Arabia’s economic transformation efforts. Resilient credit growth signals sustained confidence among borrowers, particularly within the corporate sector, where demand for financing remains high amid ongoing large-scale infrastructure and development projects.

Meanwhile, the loan-to-deposit ratio climbed to 106.1 percent, up from 104.7 percent in the previous quarter, marking its highest level in recent times as credit expansion outpaced deposit growth.

Deposits rebounded by 4 percent after a decline in the prior quarter, supported by an 8.1 percent increase in time deposits.

The report also noted a 3.2 percent rise in operating income quarter on quarter, buoyed by a 9.6 percent surge in non-interest revenue from trade finance, foreign exchange, and investment gains.

Saudi Central Bank says Kingdom’s bank outstanding loan portfolio rose to SR3.13 trillion at the end of April. File/Asharq Al-Awsat

Sam Gidoomal, managing director and head of Middle East Financial Services at A&M, commented: “Saudi banks are entering a new strategic phase marked by stronger capital stewardship and a focus on unlocking liquidity through innovation — from potential mortgage securitization to targeted portfolio rebalancing.” 

“This financial agility, combined with solid credit growth and cost control, positions the sector to actively support Vision 2030 priorities and channel capital toward infrastructure and giga-projects,” he added. 

Cost discipline was evident across the sector, as operating expenses fell by 1.7 percent, contributing to a 149 basis point improvement in the cost-to-income ratio to 29.8 percent. 

Aggregate net income increased 6.3 percent to SR22.2 billion ($5.9 billion), while return on equity strengthened by 44 basis points to 15.3 percent and return on assets edged up to 2.1 percent. 

The strong quarterly performance detailed in A&M’s KSA Banking Pulse coincides with a broader surge in credit expansion across the sector. 

According to data from the Saudi Central Bank, the Kingdom’s bank outstanding loan portfolio rose to SR3.13 trillion at the end of April, reflecting a 16.51 percent increase over the past year and marking the fastest annual growth rate since mid-2021. 

The data shows that approximately SR443 billion in new credit was issued over the past 12 months, highlighting how the Kingdom’s project-driven growth model is reshaping bank balance sheets. Real estate developers remain the largest borrowers, accounting for 21.77 percent of total corporate credit.

The analysis further underscored that impairment charges declined by 15.8 percent, alleviating margin pressures associated with interest rate normalization. 

Non-interest income rose to 23 percent of total operating income in the first quarter, signaling progress in revenue diversification. 

The cost of risk improved to 0.27 percent, down from 0.34 percent in the prior quarter, while the capital adequacy ratio remained robust at 19.3 percent. 

Yield on credit moderated to 8 percent in the first quarter, down from 8.4 percent in the prior period, while the cost of funds declined to 3.3 percent. 

The net interest margin edged slightly lower to 2.87 percent from 2.94 percent, reflecting ongoing margin pressures amid interest rate normalization. 

The coverage ratio decreased to 154.8 percent, and operating income relative to total assets remained stable at 3.6 percent. Return on risk-weighted assets was unchanged at 2.7 percent quarter on quarter. 

Asad Ahmed, A&M managing director, Financial Services, added: “The uptick in lending and deposit mobilization reflects improving business confidence and a rebalancing of liquidity across the sector.”

“While margin pressures persist amid interest rate normalization, the decline in impairments and growth in fee-based income indicate that banks are diversifying their revenue streams and adapting effectively to the evolving environment,” he added. 


Saudi Ministry of Energy, UN ink deal to propel regional emissions cooperation 

Updated 11 min 33 sec ago
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Saudi Ministry of Energy, UN ink deal to propel regional emissions cooperation 

  • Deal seeks to support MENA nations promote clean energy technologies

RIYADH: Middle East and North Africa countries are set to benefit from enhanced clean energy cooperation following an agreement between Saudi Arabia and the UN Environment Programme to accelerate emissions reduction. 

The memorandum of understanding, signed in Riyadh by Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and UNEP Executive Director Inger Andersen, seeks to support MENA nations through the promotion of clean energy technologies, development of climate policy frameworks, and knowledge exchange to advance sustainable development, according to an official release. 

The initiative aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Middle East Green Initiative, a regional platform launched to combat climate change and reduce emissions by over 60 percent from hydrocarbon production across participating countries. The initiative aims to cut 670 million tonnes of carbon dioxide, equivalent to 10 percent of global nationally determined contributions when first announced in 2021. 

The ministry release stated: “The MoU reflects shared goals to enhance resource efficiency and lower carbon emissions through a comprehensive, balanced and sustainable approach.” 

It added: “Areas of cooperation include policy research and recommendations, partnerships with international organizations, participation in climate and CCE-related events, exchange of knowledge and best practices, and the development of climate policy frameworks, supported by regional and global climate networking activities.” 

During the meeting, the two sides also held talks over advancing the objectives of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Paris Agreement. 

“The two sides also discussed Saudi Arabia’s climate initiatives, including the Saudi Green Initiative and the Middle East Green Initiative, as well as other efforts undertaken by the Kingdom to expand renewable energy and reduce emissions through the Circular Carbon Economy framework,” the release added.

The MoU supports wider regional efforts to unlock renewable potential. MENA currently contributes less than 8 percent of global emissions from power and heat generation and is aiming to grow its clean energy capacity from under 50 gigawatts in 2022 to 200 GW by 2030, according to a June 2024 report by the International Energy Agency. 

The IEA report also highlighted that the region — led by Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Algeria — is experiencing the fastest relative growth in renewable energy, scaling at 4.5 times its current base due to ambitious national targets. 

The MENA region holds substantial hydrocarbon reserves alongside significant renewable energy potential, positioning it as a strategically important player in the global shift toward sustainable energy, according to the Natural Resource Governance Institute. 

Governments across the region are adopting a dual-energy strategy — leveraging both fossil fuels and renewables — to reduce emissions while bolstering energy security. 

Enhanced regional collaboration is critical to developing interconnected energy systems, boosting economic competitiveness, and securing reliable access to international energy markets. 


Syria to expand stock trading week, launch market reforms to boost investment

Updated 7 min 27 sec ago
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Syria to expand stock trading week, launch market reforms to boost investment

  • Comprehensive development plan will be launched, says finance minister
  • Exchange will hold general assembly meeting in September to elect new board

JEDDAH: Syria is set to expand stock market trading to five days a week starting in July, part of a broader push to modernize its exchange and attract more investors, officials said. 

Finance Minister Mohammad Yasser Barnieh said the Damascus Securities Exchange will implement a development plan aimed at boosting market activity and listings, according to the official Syrian Arab News Agency.

Barnieh announced in a LinkedIn post that the exchange will hold a general assembly meeting in September to elect a new board of directors. 

The SANA report stated the minister explained that, in collaboration with the new board, the Capital Market Authority, and specialized experts, a comprehensive development plan will be launched. 

The report added: “This plan aims to expand the supply side of securities and create favorable conditions for the listing of more family-owned businesses, private universities, and other companies and institutions.” 

Finance Minister Mohammad Yasser Barnieh said the Damascus Securities Exchange will implement a development plan to boost market activity and listings. File/SANA

The minister also noted that the plan involves introducing new financial instruments and investment services aimed at stimulating market demand. 

The exchange resumed trading on June 2 after a six-month suspension, with the reopening attended by government officials and key players in the financial sector. 

In an earlier statement, Barnieh said the exchange would operate as a private company and become a key platform for Syria’s economic development with a focus on digital transformation. 

The planned reforms come as the country looks to revive its battered economy and rebuild investor confidence after years of conflict, sanctions, and financial isolation. 

The government is seeking to modernize capital markets as part of wider efforts to attract private investment and stimulate post-war reconstruction.