Egypt’s non-oil business activity weakens in April; Lebanon’s PMI ticks higher

Egypt’s non-oil business activity weakens in April; Lebanon’s PMI ticks higher
Any PMI figure below 50 indicates a decline, while above that number shows growth. Getty
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Updated 06 May 2025
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Egypt’s non-oil business activity weakens in April; Lebanon’s PMI ticks higher

Egypt’s non-oil business activity weakens in April; Lebanon’s PMI ticks higher

RIYADH: Egypt’s non-oil private sector contracted further in April according to S&P Global, while Lebanon saw its economic decline slow across the month.

The north African country’s Purchasing Managers’ Index hit 48.5 in the period, down from 49.2 in March.

This contraction was driven by a reduction in domestic and foreign demand, which caused new orders to fall for the second consecutive month. 

Any figure below 50 indicates a decline, while above that number shows growth.

Lebanon’s PMI report, produced by S&P Global in association with BLOMINVEST Bank, showed a rise in April to 49, up from 47.6 in March. 

Despite this marginal increase, the figure is still lower than earlier this year, when the country registered a healthy reading of 50.6 in January and 50.5 in February. 

The figures for the countries come as PMI figures across the Middle East and North Africa have generally been reflecting the rapid expansion and growth of private firms.

In April, Saudi Arabia’s PMI stood at 55.6, while it was 54 in the UAE and 54.2 in Kuwait. 

Reflecting on Egypt’s decline, David Owen, senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said: “Business activity weakened for the second month running in April as firms highlighted an additional drag from falling sales.”

He added: “Some companies signalled that weakness in international markets had hit business confidence and spending, amid wider concerns that rising global economic uncertainty and changing trade policy could soften demand across several markets.”

Business optimism up in Egypt

In January, Egypt’s non-oil business activities entered the expansion zone, with the PMI hitting 50.7. It was followed by another healthy month of growth in February, where the PMI stood at 50.1. 

According to the survey, the rate of contraction of non-energy business activity quickened from March and was the fastest seen in four months. 

The report revealed that lower levels of activity and new work led non-oil companies to rein in input purchases for a second month in a row. 

Due to limited business activities, companies in Egypt were also keen to limit headcounts, with the latest data signalling a decline in employment for the third successive month. 

S&P Global further said that input prices in the country’s non-oil economy rose at their fastest pace in four months in April, marking a notable reversal from March, when inflation dropped to a 58-month low. 

“Subdued pressure on input costs in recent months helped firms to steady their own prices in April, which should bring some reassurance that inflation headwinds are easing,” said Owen. 

He added: “Although input costs rose at a much sharper pace over the month, this was mainly attributed to the roughly 15 percent uplift in fuel prices, rather than underlying inflationary pressures.”

Regarding the future outlook, non-oil firms in Egypt expressed more confidence, with optimism ticking up to a three-month high. 

Firms that expressed future confidence hoped that market conditions at home and abroad would strengthen in the coming months. 

In February, global credit rating agency Moody’s affirmed Egypt’s Caa1 long-term foreign and local currency issuer rating with a positive outlook, driven by prospects for improvement in the country’s debt service burden. 

The report said that the positive outlook was given due to the country’s strengthening foreign exchange buffers. 

Moody’s awards a Caa1 rating to countries with poor quality and very high credit risks. 

Private sector activity in Lebanon falls at slower pace

According to the latest report, Lebanon’s private sector economy remained under pressure at the start of the second quarter, as new orders and business activity shrank. 

Purchasing activity and stock levels also dipped slightly in April, while firms’ expectations for the next 12 months fell into pessimistic territory for the first time since November. 

“The BLOM Lebanon PMI recorded 49.0, implying a decline in private sector business activity for the second month in a row, but at a slower pace. This decline was mainly down to the marginal decline in new orders, reflecting weaker export demand,” said Helmi Mrad, senior research analyst at BLOM Bank. 

The latest study also indicated a reduction in the volume of incoming new business received by private sector companies in Lebanon, due to factors including market conditions, security concerns, regional instability, and weak customer purchasing power. 

“The debate regarding the surrendering of Hezbollah’s weapons escalated in the last couple of weeks as some of Hezbollah’s leaders stated that no one can forcefully remove their weapons. In the meantime, Israel’s breaches of the ceasefire agreement continue,” said Mrad. 

He added: “This stalemate is having negative effects on business activity in the short-run, despite the progress made on the enactment of laws essential for financial restructuring.”

S&P Global also highlighted a fractional decline in employment across the Lebanese private sector at the start of the second quarter. 


OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets’ central bank, says Saudi energy minister

OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets’ central bank, says Saudi energy minister
Updated 19 June 2025
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OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets’ central bank, says Saudi energy minister

OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets’ central bank, says Saudi energy minister

RIYADH: OPEC+ has proven to be the “central bank” and regulator of the global oil market, providing much-needed stability, Saudi Arabia’s energy minister said.

Speaking at the annual St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in Russia, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman praised the alliance’s role in balancing oil markets amid global economic uncertainties.

“I would have to say that OPEC+ had proven to be an instrument that if it wasn’t invented by us and Russia and our colleagues, it should have been invented a long time ago because this is what OPEC+ had achieved in terms of bringing stability to the market and had proven that it is the central bank and the regulator of oil markets,” the energy minister said.

Prince Abdulaziz also highlighted the ongoing partnership between Saudi Arabia and Russia through the Saudi-Russian Joint Committee, noting plans for Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak to visit the Kingdom later this year with a high-level business delegation.

“I’m looking forward to host Alexander — the co-chair of our joint committee — to Saudi Arabia this year, with the biggest, most sizable business community participation,” he said.

Prince Abdulaziz emphasized that the collaboration seeks to deepen bilateral economic ties and foster diversified investment opportunities.

“We have a lot to showcase that bonding together. It will allow us to have a much more diversified relationship, and we are, as a government, working together to provide the right environment for those who want to invest in Saudi Arabia or in Russia or in any type or form of joint venturing that we should facilitate that and ensure that the investment environment is congenial for it to happen,” he added.

The minister described the energy alliance as a flexible mechanism responsive to changing global conditions, reaffirming Saudi Arabia’s commitment to cooperation with partners to maintain market stability.

Acknowledging the challenges facing Russia, Prince Abdulaziz noted the Kingdom’s support amid external restrictions.

“It’s been a challenging time what Russia is going through, but we have shown a great deal of understanding of the situation, and we’re trying to maneuver with the restrictions that are existing today,” he said.

“That has been the discharge of our leadership willingness to accommodate with this current situation and hopefully helping to support Russia in mitigating these exterior most daunting issues.”

On whether Saudi Arabia and Russia would compensate for any loss of Iranian crude supplies, the minister stressed that such scenarios are hypothetical and that OPEC+ decisions are collective.

“You give me a question that is not evidently seen happening, I don’t have an answer for you. Again, we only react to realities. But if anybody gives a question that is not relating to the reality today, I fail to see where we could predict things and how we would relate to it,” he said.

The minister clarified that OPEC+ consists of 22 member states and is not dominated by Saudi Arabia and Russia alone. A core group of eight countries is tasked with engaging the full membership to ensure coordinated responses to market changes.

“To respond to a hypothetical question by giving a hypothetical answer, which none of us two here have the right to speak on behalf of everybody without knowing their opinion, is too much of an ask,” he added.

He concluded by highlighting OPEC+’s reputation as a reliable and adaptive organization.

“What we know and what Alexander was saying just a while ago is that we have, as OPEC even before, an OPEC+ attending to so many circumstances since its first, it was in sequence, even inception, that we have been a reliable organization, a serious organization, an effective organization, and attentive to circumstances when they prevail,” he said.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 10,610 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 10,610 
Updated 19 June 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 10,610 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 10,610 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Thursday, gaining 19.58 points, or 0.18 percent, to close at 10,610.71.   

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.4 billion ($1.7 billion), as 116 of the stocks advanced and 115 retreated.    

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 28.01 points, or 0.11 percent, to close at 26,175.83. This came as 35 of the listed stocks advanced while 41 retreated.    

The MSCI Tadawul Index lost 0.54 points, or 0.04 percent, to close at 1,367.14.     

The best-performing stock of the day was Alistithmar AREIC Diversified REIT Fund, whose share price surged 9.97 percent to SR7.50. 

Seera Group Holding also recorded strong gains, with its share price rising 7.99 percent to SR23.80, while Banan Real Estate Co. climbed 7.14 percent to close at SR4.50. 

Southern Province Cement Co. recorded the most significant drop, falling 5.19 percent to SR27.40. Ataa Educational Co. also saw its stock prices fall 3.43 percent to SR59.10. 

Leejam Sports Co. also saw its stock prices decline 3.01 percent to SR116.

On the announcements front, Advance International Communications and Technology said it has completed the conversion of one of its branches into an independent limited liability company under the name Innovation Passage Technology Co.

According to a statement on Tadawul, the move is part of the company’s strategy to restructure its operations by separating the wholesale business sector. The new entity will take over all wholesale functions and operations. The company stated that the transformation is not expected to have a significant financial impact and that any further updates will be announced as they arise. 

Alujain Corp. announced that its board of directors has approved the distribution of SR51.9 million in cash dividends for the second quarter of 2025.

A bourse filing revealed that the number of shares eligible for dividends is 69.2 million, with the dividend per share set at SR0.75. The dividend represents 7.5 percent of the share’s par value. 

Alujain shares closed the session up 2.74 percent at SR35.

United Cooperative Assurance Co. announced the signing of a memorandum of understanding with Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co. to evaluate a potential merger.

According to a Tadawul filing, both parties will conduct technical, financial, tax, legal, and actuarial due diligence, and will enter into non-binding discussions regarding the terms and conditions of the proposed transaction.  

United Cooperative Assurance shares closed at SR6.70, up 0.75 percent. 


Saudi Arabia’s PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030

Saudi Arabia’s PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030
Updated 19 June 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030

Saudi Arabia’s PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030
  • New firm to turn site into multicultural hub post-event

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund has launched Expo 2030 Riyadh Co., a wholly owned entity tasked with developing, managing, and operating the infrastructure and programming for the Kingdom’s first World Expo.

During its development phases, the project is projected to contribute $64 billion to Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product and generate around 171,000 direct and indirect jobs. Once operational, it is expected to add $5.6 billion to the national economy.

According to an official release on Thursday, the newly established company will play a pivotal role not only in executing the large-scale event but also in preserving its long-term legacy.

Known as ERC, the company will fast-track operations to meet its ambitious mandate. It plans to collaborate with both local and international private sector partners to deliver on construction, cultural programming, and event management goals.

“ERC benefits from PIF’s diverse local and global ecosystem and the establishment of the company aligns with PIF’s local real estate strategy, which drives economic transformation and diversification, advancing urban innovation and enhancing quality of life, driven by the ambitious goals of Saudi Vision 2030,” said Saad Al-proud, head of PIF’s Local Real Estate Investment Division.

Covering an expansive 6 million sq. m, the Expo 2030 site will be one of the largest World Expo venues ever built. Strategically located north of Riyadh near the upcoming King Salman International Airport, it will offer direct access to major city landmarks.

Set to run from Oct. 1, 2030 to March 31, 2031, Expo 2030 Riyadh is expected to draw over 40 million visits. Following the event, ERC aims to repurpose the gated expo area into a “global village” — a multicultural destination featuring retail, food  and beverages, and premium residential offerings, all aligned with the Kingdom’s push toward sustainable tourism and innovation.

Participating nations will have the opportunity to construct permanent pavilions, enabling a lasting impact beyond the event itself and encouraging long-term investment and business ties.

PIF emphasized that the initiative reflects its broader strategy to drive economic diversification while securing sustainable financial returns.

The fund remains at the forefront of delivering Saudi Arabia’s transformative giga-projects and real estate ventures, reshaping the national landscape and bolstering the Kingdom’s global positioning.

Riyadh secured the rights to host Expo 2030 in November 2024, winning the international vote in the first round — further solidifying its reputation as a fast-evolving capital that blends connectivity, sustainability, and high quality of life at scale.


Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war

Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war
Updated 19 June 2025
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Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war

Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war

DAMASCUS: Syrian Arab Republic has carried out its first international bank transaction via the SWIFT system since the outbreak of its 14-year civil war, its central bank governor said on Thursday, a milestone in the country’s push to reintegrate into the global financial system.

Abdelkader Husriyeh told Reuters in Damascus that a direct commercial transaction had been carried out from a Syrian to an Italian bank on Sunday, and that transactions with US banks could begin within weeks.

“The door is now open to more such transactions,” he said.

Syrian banks were largely cut off from the world during the civil war after a crackdown by Bashar Assad on anti-government protests in 2011 led Western states to impose sanctions, including on Syria’s central bank.

Assad was ousted as president in a lightning offensive by rebels last year and Syria has since taken steps to re-establish international ties, culminating in a May meeting between interim President Ahmed Al-Sharaa and US President Donald Trump in Riyadh.

The US then significantly eased its sanctions and some in Congress are pushing for them to be totally repealed. Europe has announced the end of its economic sanctions regime.

Syria needs to make transfers with Western financial institutions in order to bring in huge sums for reconstruction and to kickstart a war-ravaged economy that has left nine out of 10 people poor, according to the UN.

Husriyeh chaired a high-level virtual meeting on Wednesday bringing together Syrian banks, several US banks and US officials, including Washington's Syria envoy Thomas Barrack.

The aim of the meeting was to accelerate the reconnection of Syria’s banking system to the global financial system and Husriyeh extended a formal invitation to US banks to re-establish correspondent banking ties.

“We have two clear targets: have US banks set up representative offices in Syria and have transactions resume between Syrian and American banks. I think the latter can happen in a matter of weeks,” Husriyeh told Reuters.

Among the banks invited to Wednesday’s conference were JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Citibank, though it was not immediately clear who attended.


Global FDI set to drop again this year after 11% fall in 2024: UNCTAD

Global FDI set to drop again this year after 11% fall in 2024: UNCTAD
Updated 19 June 2025
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Global FDI set to drop again this year after 11% fall in 2024: UNCTAD

Global FDI set to drop again this year after 11% fall in 2024: UNCTAD

Global foreign direct investment is set to fall again in 2025 primarily due to high investor uncertainty driven by ongoing trade tensions, according to a UN analysis.

In its latest report, the UN Conference on Trade and Development revealed that FDI dropped 11 percent to $1.5 trillion in 2024, marking a second year of decline.

While FDI flows were up 4 percent, this figure was inflated by volatile flows through conduit economies — nations that act as intermediaries for finances.

Ongoing trade tensions have lead to downward revisions of most indicators, including FDI prospects, capital formation, and exports of goods and services, as well as financial market volatility, and investor sentiment.

The views of UNCTAD align with a recent report released by the World Bank, which said that FDI flows into developing economies dropped to $435 billion in 2023, the lowest level since 2005, as rising trade barriers, geopolitical tensions, and growing fragmentation curbed cross-border investment.

The World Bank added that FDI into advanced economies also dropped, sinking to $336 billion in 2023, the weakest level since 1996.

Commenting on the latest report, Antonio Guterres, secretary-general of the UN, said: “At a time when the world should be deepening cooperation and expanding opportunity, we are seeing the opposite. 

“Barriers are rising. Globalization is retreating. And the consequences for sustainable development are profound.”

He added: “Infrastructure investment is slowing. Industrial investment is under strain. And developing countries – those most in need – are being left behind.

“Rising trade tensions, policy uncertainty and geopolitical divisions risk making the investment environment even worse.”

The UNCTAD analysis revealed that inward FDI inflows in Saudi Arabia totaled $15.73 billion in 2024, representing a 31 percent decline from the previous year. 

The Kingdom’s outflows in 2024 were $22.04 billion, marking a year-on-year rise of 27.1 percent. 

Geographically, FDI value in Europe stood at $182 billion last year, representing a decline of 58 percent compared to 2023.

North America attracted FDI worth $343 billion, a 23 percent increase year on year. 

Africa’s FDI flows rose by 75 percent year on year, reaching $97 billion in 2024, while FDI flows in developing Asia stood at $605 billion, marking a 3 percent decline. 

In Latin America and the Caribbean, FDI flows stood at $164 billion, representing a 12 percent drop compared to the previous year. 

“Among developed countries, a sharp fall in inflows in Europe contrasted sharply with rising investment in North America. FDI flows to developing countries were flat, despite sizeable increases in Africa and in South-East Asia,” said the report

Earlier this month, global credit rating agency S&P Global said FDI inflows into Gulf Cooperation Council countries are expected to slow in 2025 due to rising investor uncertainty. 

The outlook reflects shifting US trade policies, lower oil prices, and a more gradual rollout of economic diversification projects in the region. 

S&P Global also forecast a net negative impact on global FDI in the near term, driven by the indirect effects of US tariffs, a weaker oil price outlook, and declining global investor confidence.

According to UNCTAD, international project finance also continued its slump in 2024, registering a 26 percent decline in value compared to the previous year. 

“The global economy continues to grapple with a complex set of challenges: mounting debt, persistent underperformance in GDP (gross domestic product) growth, geopolitical tensions, and structural shifts in trade and investment flows,” said Rebeca Grynspan, secretary-general of UNCTAD. 

She added: “Global foreign direct investment contracted for the second consecutive year. International project finance, critical for large-scale infrastructure and development, registered the steepest decline, falling by 26 percent.” 

International project finance makes up a higher share of FDI in the least developed countries, which are therefore proportionally more affected by the downturn.

According to the analysis, the number of greenfield projects announced in industrial sectors increased by 3 percent year on year. However, their value fell by 5 percent to $1.3 trillion, still the second-highest on record. 

The value of cross-border mergers and acquisitions, which mostly affect FDI flows in developed countries, increased by 14 percent to $443 billion, still well below the average of the last decade. 

“While there has been some weakness in overall M&A markets, the share of cross-border deals in the total is declining, with domestic deals and near-market acquisitions becoming more important in the face of growing policy risks and regulatory scrutiny,” said UNCTAD. 

The report highlighted that the digital economy is the only sector to have seen growth in 2024, witnessing a 17 percent increase in project numbers and a doubling of initiative values. 

“The digital economy is expanding at an annual rate of 10 to 12 percent, outpacing global GDP growth and accounting for a rising share of value creation worldwide,” said Grynspan. 

She added: “Yet this growth is not equally distributed. Despite more than $500 billion in greenfield investment in the digital economy into developing countries over the past five years, this investment is heavily concentrated in a few countries.” 

The UNCTAD secretary-general further said that several structurally weak and vulnerable economies remain marginalized, constrained by inadequate technical infrastructure, limited digital skills, and policy and regulatory uncertainty. 

According to the report, investments aimed at achieving sustainable development goals also faced hurdles in 2024, as projects in renewable energy declined by 12 percent and those in critical minerals fell by almost 50 percent.

“What is most alarming, however, is the continued deterioration of investment flows into key sectors aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals,” said Grynspan. 

She added: “This trend comes at a time when the world can least afford to fall short. Reversing this negative trend in Goals investment will demand not only more capital — both public and private — but also deeper alignment of investment flows with long-term sustainability goals.”