Manufacturing surge boosts Saudi Arabia’s IPI to 105.6 points: GASTAT 

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Updated 10 July 2024
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Manufacturing surge boosts Saudi Arabia’s IPI to 105.6 points: GASTAT 

RIYADH: Manufacturing activities helped push Saudi Arabia’s Industrial Production Index to 105.6 points in April, a 1.1 percent rise compared to the previous month, official data showed. 

According to the General Authority for Statistics, manufacturing operations in the Kingdom rose by 2.4 percent month-on-month to reach 119.1 points, due to a surge in chemical product production, which went up by 3.1 percent. 

Similarly, a 1.9 percent increase in the production of coke and refined petroleum products also contributed to the growth of the manufacturing sub-index. 

Compared to March, Saudi Arabia’s mining and quarrying activities witnessed a marginal rise of 0.1 percent in April to 98.6 points. 

The IPI, an economic indicator, reflects relative changes in the volume of industrial output, calculated based on production surveys. 

However, Saudi Arabia’s overall IPI decreased by 6.1 percent in April compared to the same month of the previous year. 

According to GASTAT, this decline was mainly attributed to the Kingdom’s decision to reduce oil output in line with the agreement made by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+. 

In a bid to maintain market stability, Saudi Arabia reduced its oil output by 500,000 barrels per day in April 2023, and this cut has now been extended until December 2024. 

The report revealed that mining and quarrying activities decreased by 14.1 percent in April compared to the same month of the previous year, as Saudi Arabia reduced its oil production to 8.9 million barrels per day. 

“Given the relative weights of the mining and quarrying activity which reached 61.4 percent, the trend of the industrial production in the mining and quarrying sector dominates the trend in the general IPI,” said GASTAT.  

It added: “This was followed by the manufacturing activity, and electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply activities with a relative importance of 35 percent and 2.8 percent respectively, and water supply, sewerage, waste management, and remediation activities by 0.69 percent.”  

On a positive note, manufacturing activities in the Kingdom rose by 7.7 percent in April compared to the same period of the preceding year. 

Similarly, electricity, gas, steam, and air conditioning supply activities recorded an annual increase of 6.5 percent, while the sub-index of water supply, sewerage, and waste management, as well as remediation activities, decreased by 2.8 percent. 

GASTAT revealed that the Kingdom’s gross domestic product achieved a growth rate of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of this year, compared to the last three months of 2023. 

The authority also revealed that Saudi Arabia’s non-oil activities witnessed a growth rate of 3.4 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2024. 


Qatar’s international reserves climb 3.81% to $70.29bn in February

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Qatar’s international reserves climb 3.81% to $70.29bn in February

RIYADH: Qatar’s international reserves and foreign currency liquidity rose 3.81 percent in February, reaching 255.916 billion Qatari riyals ($70.29 billion), up from 246.509 billion riyals in the same month last year.  

According to the latest data from the Qatar Central Bank, official reserves increased by 9.218 billion riyals, totaling 196.817 billion riyals at the end of February, despite a 13.175 billion riyal decline in foreign bonds and Treasury bills holdings, which stood at 125.790 billion riyals, Qatar News Agency reported.  

Official reserves comprise several components, including foreign bonds and treasury bills, cash balances with foreign banks, gold holdings, Special Drawing Rights, and Qatar’s quota at the International Monetary Fund. 

In addition, the central bank’s total international reserves include other liquid assets in foreign currency deposits. 

The figures reflect continued growth in Qatar’s international reserves, highlighting the country’s financial stability despite fluctuations in global markets. 

Gold reserves saw a significant uptick, rising by 13.85 billion riyals to 38.263 billion riyals. Cash balances with foreign banks increased by 8.63 billion riyals, reaching 27.67 billion riyals. Conversely, SDR deposits at the International Monetary Fund decreased by 98 million riyals, totaling 5.09 billion riyals.    

Qatar recorded a budget surplus of 900 million riyals in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from 100 million riyals in the previous quarter. 

In January, the Ministry of Finance stated on its X account that the surplus would be used to reduce public debt. It added that total expenditures for the quarter stood at 47.8 billion riyals, a 12 percent year-on-year decline, while revenues totaled 48.7 billion riyals, reflecting a 12.5 percent drop.  

The health, municipal and environment, general secretariat, and energy sectors ranked as the top-performing areas during the quarter, according to the Sector Performance Index. 

Qatar’s fiscal performance aligns with other Gulf Cooperation Council nations, such as Oman, which recorded a 6.2 percent budget surplus in 2024.  

This reflects the IMF’s December review, which highlighted the region’s resilience amid oil production cuts, supported by diversification efforts and economic reforms.  

Qatar’s real gross domestic product is expected to grow by 2 percent in 2024-25, driven by public investment, liquefied natural gas spillovers, and a robust tourism sector, according to the IMF.

It projected the Gulf nation’s medium-term growth to average 4.75 percent, fueled by a significant expansion in LNG production and the early impact of reforms under the Third National Development Strategy.


Fitch affirms Kuwait’s rating at AA-, outlook stable

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Fitch affirms Kuwait’s rating at AA-, outlook stable

  • Assets projected to rise to 601% of GDP this year from an estimated 582% in 2024
  • Government planning to introduce long-delayed excise tax in fiscal year ending March 2026

RIYADH: Fitch Ratings has reaffirmed Kuwait’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating at AA-, with a stable outlook due to the country’s strong fiscal position and external financial consistency. 

The US-based agency said Kuwait’s external balance sheet remains the strongest of all Fitch-rated sovereigns, with the nation’s net foreign assets projected to rise to 601 percent of the gross domestic product this year from an estimated 582 percent in 2024. 

According to Fitch, an AA- ranking indicates expectations of very low credit risk and a strong capacity for payment of financial commitments. 

Kuwait’s strong rating aligns with the broader trend in the Middle East region, where countries steadily diversify their economies by reducing their dependence on crude revenues. 

In February, Fitch Ratings affirmed Saudi Arabia’s IDR at A+ with a stable outlook, while the UAE was rated AA-. 

The Kingdom’s A+ ranking indicates Saudi Arabia’s strong capacity to pay financial commitments while signifying low default risk. 

“The recently-appointed government has initiated reforms aimed at reducing reliance on oil revenue, improving government efficiency, and rationalizing spending, capping it at 24.5 billion dinars ($79.53 billion), accounting for about 51 percent of GDP,” said Fitch Ratings. 

The report further said that the Kuwaiti government’s introduction of a 15 percent domestic minimum top-up tax on multinational companies came into effect on Jan. 1. It is expected to generate about 0.5 percent of GDP, amounting to 250 million dinars annually, with collections expected to commence by 2027. 

The government is also planning to introduce the long-delayed excise tax in the fiscal year ending March 2026. 

“Fitch views the pick-up in reform efforts as positive. However, a significant overhaul of generous public wages and welfare spending (79 percent of total expenditure; 40 percent of GDP) is unlikely in the short term, given the state’s deep-rooted generosity toward Kuwaiti citizens and still favorable oil prices,” the analysis added. 

The Kuwaiti government is also planning to pass a liquidity/debt law, which will enable the country to raise new debt. 

The agency said even without a liquidity law, the government would still be able to meet its financing obligations in the coming years, given the substantial assets at its disposal.

Kuwait’s overall revenue is expected to decline in the financial year 2025 due to oil revenue loss from lower crude prices as OPEC+ continues production cuts to maintain market stability, according to Fitch.

The country’s non-oil revenues are expected to grow modestly in the financial year but fall short of the government’s target of 2.9 billion dinars. 

The study further said that the Kuwait government’s debt to GDP rose to 6 percent in FY25 and 9.2 percent in FY26, despite a $4.5 billion Eurobond maturing in March 2027. 

The report also outlined some constraints that affected Kuwait’s rating, including the country’s weaker governance than peers, heavy dependence on oil, and its generous welfare system and large public sector, which could result in long-term fiscal pressure. 

“Prospects remain unclear for meaningful fiscal adjustment to address long-term challenges and legislation to allow debt issuance and improve fiscal financing flexibility, although there are emerging signs of progress,” said Fitch. 


Women investors await Pakistan-IMF talk results to decide on stock investments

Updated 09 March 2025
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Women investors await Pakistan-IMF talk results to decide on stock investments

  • IMF has sent a team of experts to see if the South Asian nation is complying with the conditions it has set under the $7 billon program
  • A successful review will not only lead to the release of about $1 billion to cash-strapped Pakistan, but also open new avenues for investors

KARACHI: Woman investors in Pakistan are “cautiously” looking at the country’s ongoing talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and will buy more shares in companies listed on the bourse, if the negotiations succeed.
Woman investors in Pakistan’s commercial capital of Karachi hope that Islamabad’s negotiations with the global lender for a review of its $7 billion program would end on a positive note, thus allowing the market sentiments to boost.
The Washington-based lender has sent a team of experts, led by Nathan Porter, to see if the South Asian nation is complying with the conditions it has set under its reforms-oriented extended fund facility (EFF).
A successful review would not only lead to the release of about $1 billion to cash-strapped Pakistan, but also open new avenues for investors who have been buying and selling company shares at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX).
“I will be putting more money into the stock market for sure and I would be advising my clients to do the same,” said Saniya Bilal Doni, a 33-year-old CFA charter holder who has been actively investing in Pakistan’s stocks, real estate and gold markets for the last four years.
The mother of two holds a finance degree from the University of Toronto and prefers to make long-term, dividend-based investments in what she called “well performing” banking, real estate, fertilizers and technology stocks that make her portfolio keep growing. Doni though did not quote any numbers to show how big her investment portfolio is.
Having worked for various asset management funds in Canada and Abu Dhabi after completing her graduation in 2013, Doni now is managing her family’s portfolio as well as advising high net-worth individuals on how they should manage their investment portfolios.
She expects more money to come into Pakistan’s economy as a result of a successful IMF review that would help the stocks market increase more.
“All the stocks should technically go up. Yes, that has an impact because as an economy we are unfortunately dependent on IMF’s funding,” she said.
“I am paying attention to all of that, especially as I, you know, make changes to the portfolio, if any, and also if I advise clients.”
Inflation-hit Pakistan has about 350,000 registered individuals who invest in stocks, according to Najeeb Ahmed Khan Warsi, head of online trading at Foundation Securities Ltd.
This number looks dismal given the fact that Pakistan is the world’s fifth most populous nation, with more than 240 million people. The number of woman investors at 5 percent is even negligible.
Like others, these woman investors are also concerned about the outcome of Pakistan’s talks with the IMF, which usually take a couple of weeks to conclude.
“As an investor I am very cautious at the moment. I am holding on to my stocks. I am holding on to my investments. I am very careful with that,” said Isra Ghous Rasool, a 22-year-old business management student who bought some Shariah-complaint stocks a year and half ago to prove that women too can invest in stocks.
Pakistan’s central bank has almost halved the interest rates to 12 percent since June last year and made the booming stocks market an attractive place for investors like Doni and Rasool. The stock gauge KSE-100 Index almost doubled last year and gained 87 percent in US dollars terms to make Pakistan one of the world’s best performing markets.
Women like Doni and Rasool think that being investors makes them financially independent and empowered enough to have more control over their finances and choices without depending on their male relatives.
“I have a better relationship with money. I am able to dictate what I want in life and be able to actually pay for it,” said Doni, who sees another rate cut coming on March 10 when Pakistan’s central bank is scheduled to revise the borrowing rate.
“I am definitely looking for more opportunities in the stock market.”
Doni thinks investments help people hedge inflation which though now has eased to a single digit, but was seen peaking to 38 percent in May 2023.
Despite such good examples, Pakistan remains a male-dominated society where women tend to stay away from financial markets and use traditional saving methods like running committees.
Maham Alavi, a 40-year-old Pakistani brand manager, is running an all-women group of investors on Facebook from the Saudi capital Riyadh for the past decade.
Her Facebook group, Women Investment Forum, has now expanded to 15,000 members, about half of them being confident investors or analysts working in different fields in and outside Pakistan.
Alavi herself vets all the Facebook profiles to avoid an online scam.
“I started this group in Sep 2016 with the intent to learn myself and gather as many women as I could because the PSX had always been a male-dominated field in Pakistan,” she told Arab News from Riyadh.
Women Investment Forum is an educational group and does not tell its members where to invest or what to buy.
“That is their decision to make. We try to empower them so they can make decisions themselves,” said Alavi, a mother of two.
Pakistan’s stock exchange also organizes workshops and awareness sessions to promote financial literacy among women that makes them financially independent. One such event is being organized by the PSX on March 10 in Karachi to celebrate the International Women’s Day.
Both Doni and Rasool are equally critical of the prevailing political uncertainty in the country that by and large keeps investor sentiments dampened in Pakistan.
Pakistan is facing a political crisis since April 2022, when prime minister Imran Khan was ousted from power through a parliamentary no-trust vote. Khan remains in jail and his Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf party keeps agitating on roads across Pakistan demanding the release of its political prisoners, including Khan.
“Political noise does play a huge role and whenever I’m trying to, you know, encourage, overseas Pakistanis to invest into Pakistani stock market or, you know, real estate, this is their number one concern,” said Doni, while sitting in her home office in Karachi’s Clifton area.
Rasool said political uncertainty has a huge impact on stock fundamentals. Recalling how the stock market had reacted to the arrest of Khan, she said a lot of stocks were oversold and a lot of investors had opted for selling their holdings in panic.
In their Women’s Day message, Alavi, Doni and Rasool said women, who make up half of Pakistan’s total population, should at least start learning about making investments in stocks for long-term gains.
“The IMF guys are right now in the country, so things are on the upward trajectory. If you’re still on the fence, on the sidelines, at least equip yourself with the right knowledge,” Doni urged.


Saudi Aramco cuts crude oil prices for Asia

Updated 09 March 2025
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Saudi Aramco cuts crude oil prices for Asia

RIYADH: Saudi Aramco has lowered its crude oil prices for Asian buyers in April, marking the first reduction in three months. This price cut aligns with market expectations and follows the decision by OPEC+ to gradually increase oil supply starting this month.

According to an official statement, the official selling price for the benchmark Arab Light crude has been reduced by 40 cents, now standing at $3.50 per barrel above the average price of Oman and Dubai crude.

This change comes after the OSP for Arab Light hit a 12-month high last month, reaching $3.90 above the Oman and Dubai average. 

Other grades of Saudi crude also experienced price cuts. The OSP for Arab Extra Light has been lowered to $3.30 per barrel, while Arab Super Light is priced at $4.05 per barrel. Additionally, the price for Arab Medium crude has been reduced to $2.95 per barrel, and Arab Heavy crude now stands at $1.80 per barrel.

For North American buyers, Saudi Aramco set the OSP for Arab Light crude at $3.80 per barrel above the Argus Sour Crude Index for March.

This price adjustment follows OPEC+’s decision to proceed with a planned increase in oil output by 138,000 barrels per day starting in April. It marks the group’s first production increase since 2022. Meanwhile, Russian and Iranian oil exports to China are on the rise, as non-sanctioned tankers take advantage of attractive payoffs, helping to ease supply concerns.

Saudi Aramco’s crude oil is classified into five grades based on density: Super Light (greater than 40), Arab Extra Light (36-40), Arab Light (32-36), Arab Medium (29-32), and Arab Heavy (below 29). These price changes influence the cost of approximately 9 million barrels per day of crude oil shipped to Asia, setting price benchmarks for other major oil producers such as Iran, Kuwait, and Iraq.

Aramco typically announces its crude OSPs around the 5th of each month, setting the tone for the global oil market.


Saudi e-commerce sales soar 45% in January, surpassing $5.5bn

Updated 09 March 2025
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Saudi e-commerce sales soar 45% in January, surpassing $5.5bn

  • Transaction volumes jumped 33.65% to 111.42 million
  • Spending on miscellaneous goods and services made up 12%, or SR7.07 billion

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s e-commerce sales using Mada cards surged 44.64 percent yearly in January, reaching SR20.87 billion ($5.56 billion), underscoring the Kingdom’s accelerating shift toward digital payments. 

Data from the Saudi Central Bank, or SAMA, showed transaction volumes jumped 33.65 percent to 111.42 million, reflecting rising consumer spending and the growing adoption of contactless payment technologies. The figures cover online shopping, in-app purchases, and e-wallet transactions, excluding credit card payments via Visa or MasterCard. 

Mada, Saudi Arabia’s national electronic payment network, offers debit and prepaid card services. Utilizing near-field communication technology for contactless payments, it ensures secure transactions at physical retail locations and online. 

Mada sales are rising due to the Kingdom’s increasing spending power and widespread adoption of NFC-enabled devices. Dual-income households and a strengthening economy have boosted consumer purchasing, while user-friendly digital payment solutions such as Mada are accelerating the shift toward a cashless society. 

E-commerce transactions have also seen significant growth, driven by post-pandemic digital adoption and substantial investments in online platforms, allowing the Kingdom’s payment landscape to evolve rapidly, with Mada cards now accounting for most card transactions. 

While Mada continues to drive e-commerce expansion, the broader point-of-sale landscape reveals an even more dynamic trend. 

At physical retail outlets, customers have access to several payment options, including Mada, which drove January sales to SR58.21 billion — an 8.19 percent year-on-year increase — while the number of transactions rose 13.10 percent annually. 

Data from SAMA showed that spending at restaurants and cafes, as well as beverage and food outlets, accounted for the highest shares, roughly 30 percent in total, amounting to around SR8.7 billion each. 

Spending on miscellaneous goods and services, including personal care, supplies, and maintenance made up 12 percent, or SR7.07 billion. 

Jewelry sales recorded the highest growth among point-of-sale categories, surging 24.71 percent year on year in January to reach SR1.19 billion. Clothing and footwear spending grew about 14 percent, totaling SR3.68 billion. 

The spike could be partly attributed to the new year, when consumers, bolstered by year-end bonuses and festive promotions, tend to refresh their wardrobes and accessories. Retailers further stimulate this trend by launching clearance sales and special offers, likely driving increased spending during January. 

The widespread adoption of NFC-enabled devices, mobile payment apps, and integrated digital wallets has significantly streamlined transactions in-store and online. 

Backed by modern payment processing systems and a supportive regulatory framework, these technologies are driving higher transaction volumes and enhancing consumer convenience.