Saudi Arabia’s construction output to hit $191bn in 2029: Knight Frank 

Riyadh remains the center of construction activity, with $135.2 billion of contracts awarded since 2020. Getty
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Updated 07 July 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s construction output to hit $191bn in 2029: Knight Frank 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s construction output value is expected to reach $191 billion in 2029, representing a rise of 29.05 percent compared to 2024, according to an analysis. 

In its latest report, global consulting firm Knight Frank pointed to the growth in residential developments, the ongoing giga-projects, and increased demand for office space — particularly in Riyadh — as the key drivers for this rise.

The Kingdom aims to deliver over 1 million homes, more than 362,000 hotel keys, over 7.4 million sq. meters of retail coverage, and more than 7.7 million sq. meters of new office space by the end of this decade as part of its Vision 2030 economic diversification drive. 

Saudi Arabia’s Real Estate General Authority expects the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, with an anticipated compound annual growth rate of 8 percent from 2024.

Knight Frank’s forcast comes after the output value for the construction, transport, and power sectors, as well as those covering oil and gas, industrial, water, and chemical, in the Kingdom expanded by 4.6 percent year on year in 2024, reaching $148 billion. 

The anticipated growth in the Kingdom’s construction output value also aligns with the broader trend observed in the GCC region, where countries are pursuing their economic diversification efforts. 

“Construction contracts totaling more than $215.4 billion were awarded across Saudi Arabia between 2020 and 2025, highlighting the government’s incredible ambition and commitment to making the Kingdom the center of wealth generation and trade not just in the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) but globally,” said Faisal Durrani, partner, head of research of Knight Frank in the Middle East and North Africa. 

He added: “Indeed, some $1.3 trillion is planned to be invested in real estate and infrastructure projects as part of Vision 2030, highlighting the breadth and scale of what is now being delivered.” 

According to the report, the total real estate development value for the Western Region accounts for 53 percent of the total in this $1.3 trillion development plan.

In May, a report released by Research and Markets projected that the construction market in the UAE is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 4.8 percent from 2025 to 2029, reaching 242.33 billion dirhams ($65.89 billion). 

In June, Research and Markets projected that Qatar’s construction sector is projected to grow at an annual average growth rate of 4.7 percent from 2026 to 2029, supported by public and private sector investments in renewable energy, water infrastructure and liquefied natural gas projects.

In February, speaking at the Public Investment Fund Private Sector Forum in Riyadh, Fahad Al-Hashem, assistant deputy minister at the Ministry of Investment, said that Saudi Arabia’s construction sector saw significant growth in 2024, with 3,800 new licenses added in just one year to bring the total to 8,900.

According to the latest Knight Frank report, Riyadh remains the center of construction activity, with $135.2 billion of contracts awarded since 2020, representing 63 percent of the total across the Kingdom. 

The $195 billion development plan for Riyadh envisions 4.6 million sq. meters of office space, 2.6 million sq. meters of retail, more than 28,800 hotel rooms, and over 340,000 residential units.

Knight Frank added that the total value of commissioned projects in Riyadh stands at $35 billion. 

The analysis also discussed Riyadh’s rapidly developing transport system, which includes the Riyadh Metro project, featuring six lines spanning 176 km with 85 stations and fully automated, driverless trains. 

Knight Frank stated that the King Abdulaziz Public Transport Project in the capital will create a comprehensive bus rapid transport system, while more than $5 billion is being spent on major road projects to support the city’s expansion.

“With the population of Riyadh projected to increase to 10 million by 2030, the city’s transport upgrade program is one of the largest and most innovative in the world,” said Mohamed Nabil, regional partner, head of project and development services, Knight Frank, MENA. 

He added: “Although the car is still the dominant form of transport, the investments being made in Riyadh’s Metro and rapid transport system show how the city is redefining the urban experience through sustainable development to create not only a liveable city, but also an attractive destination for business and tourism.” 

In June, a separate report released by Knight Frank highlighted the growth of Riyadh as a commercial hub.

According to that analysis, the rents for Grade A office spaces in the Kingdom’s capital reached SR2,700 ($719.95) per sq. meter, marking a year-on-year rise of 23 percent, driven by the success of government-led initiatives, including the ambitious regional headquarters program.

That initiative offers benefits to international firms, including a 30-year exemption from corporate income tax and withholding tax on headquarters activities, as well as discounts and support services.

In the latest report, Amar Hussain, associate partner — research Middle East at Knight Frank, said that giga-projects in the Kingdom are emerging as a major hub for construction activities. 

“The $50 billion New Murabba project will transform 19 sq. km of north-west Riyadh, creating 18 new neighborhoods. In Western Saudi Arabia, a $685.5 billion real estate development plan centered on giga projects will deliver more than 382,000 homes, 330,000 hotel rooms, and office and retail space spanning upwards of 7.3 million sq. meters,” said Hussain. 

 

He added: “These projects are designed on a scale far beyond anything else currently under construction in EMEA (Europe, the Middle East and Africa), and this bold vision is rapidly becoming reality, bringing benefits to Saudi residents and businesses alike.” 

 


Saudi Arabia accelerates AI push with HUMAIN at the helm

Updated 27 July 2025
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Saudi Arabia accelerates AI push with HUMAIN at the helm

  • Kingdom positioning itself as hub for advanced AI applications across the Middle East and beyond

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia is ramping up its artificial intelligence ambitions with the launch of HUMAIN, a flagship initiative backed by the Public Investment Fund, as part of its broader drive to become a global AI powerhouse.

With more than $40 billion earmarked for AI-related investments under Vision 2030, the Kingdom is scaling up infrastructure, forging global tech partnerships, and positioning itself as a hub for advanced AI applications across the Middle East and beyond.

“Artificial intelligence has become a strategic priority for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia as it aligns strongly with the country’s economic transformation goals and enhances governance,” Youssef Saidi, an economic expert and research fellow at the Economic Research Forum, told Arab News.

He added that the Kingdom’s AI strategy aims to position the country as a global AI leader by the end of the decade.

“Saudi Arabia is leveraging AI to drive innovation and economic growth across various sectors, including healthcare, finance, and logistics, helping the country’s transition into a knowledge-based economy. Saudi Arabia is investing heavily in AI research and development to become a regional leader in this field,” he added.

HUMAIN launch

Wholly owned by PIF, HUMAIN was launched in May by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman to develop advanced Arabic language models and establish Saudi Arabia as a global leader in AI infrastructure and innovation.

The initiative  is expected to support local innovation, develop intellectual property, and attract top global AI talent and investment.

“HUMAIN is due to offer one of the world’s most powerful multimodal Arabic language models, advanced AI tools, and next-generation data centers,” said Saidi.

He added: “HUMAIN is expected to contribute to Saudi Arabia’s AI ecosystem by fostering human-centered AI innovation, encouraging the design of AI systems that are ethical, inclusive, transparent, and accountable.”

The company aims to enhance human capabilities, improve quality of life, and address real-world challenges relevant to Saudi society. Its focus spans strategic sectors including energy, healthcare, manufacturing, and financial services.

Building talent

To ensure long-term sustainability of its AI sector, Saudi Arabia is also prioritizing talent development and creating an attractive environment for global expertise.

Speaking to Arab News, Yaseen Ghulam, associate professor of economics and director of research at Riyadh-based Al-Yamamah University, said the Kingdom aims to train 20,000 data and AI experts by 2030 through investor-friendly regulations and public-private partnerships.

He cited initiatives such as the ATHKA AI Olympiad and Elevate AI training program as key contributors to public education and skills development. “Microsoft, Huawei, Accenture, Atomcamp, and Oracle are also establishing AI academy programs,” Ghulam added.

He added that the Kingdom is gaining global traction as a destination for skilled professionals, noting that it ranks third globally in AI hiring growth, with women leading in skills penetration.

“The country pays AI experts 20 percent more than the world average, along with additional incentives,” said Ghulam.

Tech partnerships

Saudi Arabia’s AI ambitions are being bolstered by collaborations with global tech giants, particularly in semiconductors and advanced computing.

“NVIDIA and AMD, two major players in the graphics processing unit market, are playing a key role in Saudi Arabia’s AI infrastructure development,” said Saidi.

​​He noted that NVIDIA is partnering with the Kingdom to build AI factories powered by its Grace Blackwell supercomputers, with a projected capacity of 500 megawatts. “The partnership between Saudi Arabia and NVIDIA aims to establish hyperscale AI data centers, enabling Saudi Arabia to train and deploy sovereign AI models at scale,” the research fellow added.

NVIDIA is also working with the Saudi Data and Artificial Intelligence Authority to train thousands of developers in accelerated computing and AI.

Saidi highlighted the key role of global tech giants like California-based semiconductor firm Advanced Micro Devices in supporting Saudi Arabia’s AI ecosystem and driving its digital transformation agenda.

“AMD is investing up to $10 billion to deploy 500 megawatts of AI compute capacity over the next five years and collaborating with Saudi organizations to develop AI enterprise platforms, supporting digital transformation across industries,” he said, adding that the NVIDIA and AMD investments will have a great benefit in developing human capital and shaping the future of AI-driven activities in Gulf Cooperation Council countries.

Strategic edge

Ghulam pointed to several factors that position the Kingdom as a strong global AI contender, including its recognition as the world leader in government strategy in the sector in the 2024 Global AI Index.

“The country has a significant advantage in hosting data centers and training AI models due to its strategic location, financial might, excess energy, expanding private sector, and digitization push,” he said.

The Kingdom is home to over 240 AI-focused businesses and has seen a fivefold increase in its AI patent portfolio since 2019. Heavy investment in digital infrastructure is also enhancing global connectivity and AI dataset capabilities.

Ghulam added that Saudi Arabia has one of the strongest AI-related physical infrastructure footprints in the region, with 10 supercomputers and the highest number of colocation data centers in the Middle East.

“The Arabic language AI models that are to be developed by HUMAIN are expected to serve more than 450 million people worldwide who speak Arabic around the world,” said Ghulam.

With foundational work well underway, Ghulam said the Kingdom has set an ambitious benchmark for the years ahead.

“Saudi Arabia aims to become one of the top 15 AI prepared countries by 2030, investing heavily in energy, data centers, semiconductors, and connectivity,” he said.

He added that the Kingdom’s public AI spending commitments — both current and projected — surpass those of the US and China.

“HUMAIN plans to build 1.9 gigawatts of data center capacity by 2030 and collaborate with NVIDIA to ship cutting-edge GPUs to Saudi Arabia,” he concluded.
 


Pakistan’s Air Karachi in talks with Chinese jetmaker for aircraft as it gears up for operations

Updated 26 July 2025
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Pakistan’s Air Karachi in talks with Chinese jetmaker for aircraft as it gears up for operations

  • New airline is backed by 100 Pakistani businessmen who pooled $17.6 million in seed funding
  • Air Karachi is also exploring aircraft deals with Boeing and Airbus to launch domestic flights

KARACHI: Air Karachi, Pakistan’s new private airline in the making, has engaged the Commercial Aircraft Corporation of China (COMAC) for the supply of airliners to start its flight operations, the group chairman Hanif Gohar told Arab News on Friday.

Spearheaded by a group of leading businessmen from Pakistan’s southern port city, the airline is also negotiating with global aerospace giants like Boeing and Airbus for the acquisition of at least three passenger aircraft. It was launched in November 2024 by 100 stakeholders with Rs5 billion ($17.6 million) in seed money.

“We are talking with COMAC regarding the 919, as well as with Boeing and Airbus, to acquire the aircraft,” Gohar said, referring to a narrow-body passenger jet developed by China.

Business leaders in the South Asian nation have stepped up to fill the gap as the state-run Pakistan International Airlines (PIA) has become a liability for the cash-strapped government, which is now making a second attempt to privatize the national carrier.

“We will start our flight operations as soon as we reach an agreement with any of the suppliers, whoever comes first,” Gohar said when asked about the timeline to start operations.

Gohar, a business tycoon himself, expects a deal within the next month.

He said Air Karachi would initially fly three aircraft domestically, and the fleet would later be expanded with four more planes to start international flights within a year.

The idea to launch a business-backed airline was conceived to develop an entity that can operate with efficiency and financial autonomy amid growing challenges faced by PIA.

Last month, Air Karachi received its Regular Public Transport (RPT) license from Pakistan’s Civil Aviation Authority.

The airline has been modeled after the success of Air Sial, another private carrier launched by industrialists in Sialkot, the manufacturing hub of Pakistan’s exportable sports and surgical goods.


Gold falls on firmer US dollar and rising trade optimism

Updated 25 July 2025
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Gold falls on firmer US dollar and rising trade optimism

BENGALURU: Gold prices fell on Friday, pressured by a recovery in the US dollar and optimism over progress in trade talks between the US and the EU.

Spot gold was down 0.7 percent at $3,343.0 per ounce by 1:50 p.m. Saudi time. US gold futures fell 0.9 percent to $3,344.50.

The US dollar index rebounded from more than a two-week low, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers, while benchmark 10-year US Treasury yields rose.

A resurgence in risk appetite driven by optimism over potential tariff negotiations, and better-than-expected jobless claims reinforcing the view that the US Federal Reserve is unlikely to cut rates, is pressuring gold, said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at brokerage firm ActivTrades.

“There is an element of uncertainty that still lingers ... with a strong support around $3,300, I see the potential for gold prices to rise should new episodes of volatility be triggered,” he said.

The European Commission said on Thursday a negotiated trade solution with the US is within reach — while EU members voted to approve counter-tariffs on €93 billion euros ($109 billion) of US goods in case the talks collapse.

Data showed the number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits fell to a three-month low last week, pointing to stable labor market conditions.

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump pressed Fed Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates in a tense visit to the US central bank on Thursday, less than a week before the next rate-setting meeting where policymakers are expected to hold interest rates steady.

Markets are pricing in a potential rate cut in September.

Gold typically performs well during periods of uncertainty and in low-interest-rate environments.

Elsewhere, spot silver fell 0.5 percent to $38.90 per ounce, but was on track for a weekly gain, up about 1.9 percent so far. Platinum lost 0.6 percent to $1,400.02 and palladium slipped 0.7 percent to $1,219.20. 


Saudi real estate loans up 15%, hitting $246bn

Updated 25 July 2025
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Saudi real estate loans up 15%, hitting $246bn

RIYADH: Real estate loans by Saudi Arabia’s commercial banks climbed to a record SR922.2 billion ($245.9 billion) in the first quarter of 2025, marking an annual increase of just over 15 percent.

Based on data from the Kingdom’s central bank, also known as SAMA, this expansion is the fastest year-on-year growth in nearly two years, and underscores a robust resurgence in property financing.

This was driven chiefly by a surge in lending to commercial real estate projects even as home mortgages, which still form the lion’s share, grew at a more moderate pace.

Saudi banks’ retail mortgages, which are primarily home loans to individuals, accounted for about 75.8 percent of total outstanding real estate credit in the first quarter, reaching SR698.8 billion.

This represents an 11.7 percent year-on-year rise. Corporate real estate loans — the funding provided to developers and commercial ventures — grew nearly 27.5 percent over the same period to SR223.4 billion, outpacing the retail segment’s growth several times over.

Although smaller in absolute terms, the corporate real estate portfolio has been expanding at its fastest pace in almost a decade according to SAMA data, boosting its share of total real estate credit to roughly 24 percent and signaling a significant shift in banks’ lending focus.

Drive to boost home ownership

This marked rebalancing comes after a prolonged period during which Saudi bank lending was largely fueled by residential mortgages. Over the past few years, government-backed housing programs helped drive home ownership from under 50 percent a decade ago to over 65 percent by 2024.

That mortgage boom saw banks’ loan books tilt heavily toward retail customers. Now, a structural pivot is underway. Companies and developers have become the dominant force in credit growth as banks pivot from consumer finance to funding large projects and enterprises.

Business loans across all sectors now make up 55.3 percent of Saudi bank lending as of May according to SAMA data, up from about 52.9 percent a year ago, with corporate credit growing over 21 percent year on year, more than double the 10 percent rise in personal lending.

Bank credit to real estate has accelerated in tandem with high-profile initiatives, from new residential communities in major cities to the gigantic NEOM smart city, as well as Red Sea tourism resorts and other large mixed-use projects that require substantial funding for land acquisition, construction and development.

The momentum is further bolstered by upcoming global events like the 2030 FIFA World Cup and Expo 2030, which are expected to inject capital and spur even more infrastructure and real estate development in the lead-up to those events.

This reflects massive projects such as new airports, rail lines, and ports that are moving ahead and require significant funding. The government’s National Transport and Logistics Strategy envisages about $150 billion in infrastructure investments by 2030, with 80 percent of that expected to come from the private sector via public-private partnerships.

Accordingly, banks are playing a pivotal role by lending to contractors and logistics firms involved in these ventures, ensuring that crucial projects have the financing they need.

Policy support and bank strategies

Saudi authorities have actively fostered an environment to support this lending shift toward commercial projects. Strengthening the real estate and financial sectors is a key goal of Vision 2030, and the government has rolled out measures to encourage private investment in large developments.

One major approach is the promotion of public-private partnerships and improved financing mechanisms to draw in non-government capital. The government is collaborating with banks and investors to streamline funding for mega-projects, including establishing new specialized financing companies and joint venture models that ease funding constraints.

The Private Sector Participation Law enacted in 2021 provides a transparent legal framework for domestic and foreign investors to take part in infrastructure and real estate projects alongside the public sector.

By simplifying regulations, offering incentives, and even initiating early phases of key projects itself, to demonstrate viability, the state aims to boost private-sector confidence and lending to these ventures.

These initiatives are creating a more conducive climate for banks to extend credit to corporate clients, knowing that many projects have government backing or facilitation.

At the same time, Saudi banks themselves are adapting their strategies to sustain the lending boom while managing risks. Banks remain well-capitalized and have robust capital buffers, with sector-wide capital adequacy around 19 percent according to SAMA data, enabling them to expand credit without compromising stability.

Many lenders are also exploring innovative ways to unlock liquidity and fund new loans. 

Industry analysts point out that banks are considering mortgage securitization, converting pools of home loans into bonds that can be sold to investors, as a means to free up balance sheet capacity.

A recent report by Fitch Ratings likewise noted that turning mortgage assets into tradable securities would expand Saudi Arabia’s debt market and give banks an additional funding boost.

Such financial agility, combined with disciplined cost control and solid deposit growth, positions the banking sector to actively support the Kingdom’s development priorities and finance Vision 2030 initiatives on a larger scale.

Saudi interest rates, which move in tandem with US Federal Reserve policy, have risen to their highest levels in nearly two decades, a factor that might ordinarily cool credit demand. 

However, the strategic importance and expected returns of mega-projects mean that demand for credit remains strong even in a high-rate climate.

Many large-scale developments benefit from government guarantees or contracts that make bank financing viable despite higher interest costs, and banks are competing to syndicate and participate in these deals.


Oil Updates — crude steady as investors weigh trade optimism against potential Venezuelan supply increase

Updated 25 July 2025
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Oil Updates — crude steady as investors weigh trade optimism against potential Venezuelan supply increase

  • EU says trade deal with US within reach
  • US prepares to allow limited oil operations in Venezuela, sources say

LONDON: Oil prices were steady on Friday, as trade talk optimism supported the outlook for both the global economy and oil demand, balancing news of the potential for more oil supply from Venezuela.

Brent crude futures were up 28 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $69.46 a barrel at 3:11 p.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were up 27 cents, or 0.41 percent, at $66.30.

Brent was heading for a 0.3 percent weekly gain at that level, while WTI was down around 1.5 percent from where it closed last week.

Brent prices have been largely range-bound between $67 and $70 a barrel for the last month, since the sharp drop in prices in late June after de-escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict.

Oil prices are “caught in largely a holding pattern brought about by inconclusive specific oil drivers,” PVM analyst John Evans said.

Oil, along with stock markets, gained support from the prospect of more deals between the US and trading partners ahead of an August 1 deadline for new tariffs on goods from an array of countries.

After the US and Japan secured a trade deal this week, two European diplomats said the EU was moving toward a deal involving a baseline US tariff of 15 percent on EU imports, plus possible exemptions.

“Trade talk optimism appears to be offsetting expectations for stronger Venezuelan supply,” ING analysts wrote in a client note on Friday.

The US is preparing to allow partners of Venezuela’s state-run PDVSA, starting with US oil major Chevron, to operate with limitations in the sanctioned nation, sources said on Thursday.

Venezuelan oil exports could consequently increase by a little more than 200,000 barrels per day, which would be welcome news for US refiners, as it would ease tightness in the heavier crude market, ING analysts wrote.

Prices were also supported this week by disruptions to Black Sea oil exports and Azeri BTC crude loading from the Turkish port of Ceyhan.

“Delays in deliveries from the Russian terminal on the Black Sea and the Turkish port on the Mediterranean are likely to have contributed to the Brent oil price rising back toward $70. Now that exports are back to normal, support for prices is likely to ease,” Commerzbank analyst Carsten Fritsch said.