Traders mark 2022 as ‘bad year’ for Pakistan stock market, fears haunt investors for 2023

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Updated 29 December 2022
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Traders mark 2022 as ‘bad year’ for Pakistan stock market, fears haunt investors for 2023

  • Benchmark KSE100 index lost over 6,000 points as market capitalization fell 18 percent in rupee and 36 percent in US dollar terms since January
  • The equity market was impacted by political turbulence, high interest regime, currency depreciation and falling forex reserves

KARACHI: Traders and market analysts described 2022 as a tough year for Pakistan’s stock market on Thursday, as many of them warned the trend could persist in the coming year amid a worsening economic situation and enduring political uncertainty in the country.

According to the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) data, the benchmark KSE100 index lost over 6,000 points since the beginning of the year and the market capitalization of listed companies fell by 18 percent to Rs6.3 trillion until December 28.

Given the exchange rate volatility, the loss in the US dollar terms amounted to 36 percent and brought the market value down to $28 billion.

“For the Pakistan stock market, 2022 was not a good year,” Muhammad Sohail, chief executive officer of Topline Securities, told Arab News. “The share prices came down sharply in 2022 along with the volume. There were also very few initial public offerings and other right issues.”




A stockbroker monitors the share prices during a trading session at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) in Karachi on June 3, 2022. (AFP)

Pakistan’s stock market only recorded three new listings in the outgoing year that generated a total amount Rs1.3 billion, the lowest in the last nine years.
Sohail believed the tight monetary policy regime and political situation played a critical role in keeping the market performance subdued.

“The tightening of monetary policy, which led to an interest rate hike from 10 to 16 percent, did not prove good along with the overall pollical situation of the country,” he continued. “Together the two things kept the equity market situation bad.”

Pakistan’s central bank raised the key policy rate by 625 basis points in 2022 to contain rising inflation which hovered around the record high of 25 percent.

Ahsan Mehanti, the top official at the Arif Habib Corporation, added “growing cost of doing business” to his list of negative factors that slowed down the stock market.

He noted the national currency of the South Asian country “devalued over 21 percent during the year from Rs177 to more than Rs226” against the US dollar due to the economic uncertainty over Pakistan’s debt repaying ability and huge imports coupled with the dollar rate hike in the global market.

Small traders also complained about higher interest rate regime which, they said, took its toll on the profitability of companies and increased the cost of doing business.

“The interest rates are almost at an all-time high,” Jibran Sarfraz, a trader and broker at PSX, complained. “At such levels, it has become difficult to do business due to the substantial increase in the borrowing cost.”

He maintained the higher interest rate made finished goods more expensive, impacting sales and profit margins of various organizations.

Despite the adverse business environment prevailing at country’s stock market, however, a number of sectors performed well while other posted huge declines.

Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT), Synthetic & Rayon, and Sugar were the top performing sectors in 2022 and their market capitalization increased by 12, six and five percent, respectively.

Engineering, automobile parts, and miscellaneous sectors, on the other hand, declined by 45, 41 and 34 percent, respectively.

During the outgoing year, the government and the IMF continued to discuss a $7 billion bailout program, though Pakistani officials remained visibly reluctant to implement harsh conditions imposed by the global lender which caused delays in the completion of performance reviews under the financial facility.

Currently, the country is working with the IMF over the ninth review, though the two sides have made very little progress which has left the stock exchange in a prolonged state of economic uncertainty.




A participant stands near a logo of IMF at the International Monetary Fund - World Bank Annual Meeting 2018 in Nusa Dua, Bali, Indonesia, on October 12, 2018. (REUTERS/File)

Meanwhile, Pakistan’s forex reserves stand at $6.1 billion which are barely enough to provide an import cover of one month to the country.

The dire situation of the economy has prompted international credit rating agencies like Standard and Poor, Fitch and Moody’s to downgrade Pakistan. The foreign firms have bracketed the South Asian state with countries like Angola, Congo, Tunisia and Nigeria who were previously thought to be perilously close to default.

While Pakistan’s finance minister has tried to dispel such economic fears, he has simultaneously conceded that the country is in a tight spot.

The country’s equity traders and analysts fear the market performance in 2023 may also remain dull due to the external debt repayment crisis and increased political noise ahead of the general elections.


Songs of healing: Karachi’s blind musician uplifts young patients at kidney hospital 

Updated 09 June 2025
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Songs of healing: Karachi’s blind musician uplifts young patients at kidney hospital 

  • For over two decades, Zainab Imran has used music to bring comfort to children battling chronic illnesses
  • SITU is a highly regarded hospital for its urology and transplantation services, particularly kidney transplants

KARACHI: In the waiting area of the Sindh Institute of Urology and Transplantation (SIUT), soft music drifted through the corridors earlier this month.

Children began to gather, some sitting beside a woman at the keyboard, others nestled quietly in their parents’ laps. 

The melodies bring calm, even joy, to an otherwise tense space filled with long waits to see doctors and the dread of the difficult treatments that follow. 

At the heart of this daily ritual is Zainab Imran, a 44-year-old blind singer known among staff and patients as the “nightingale of SIUT.” 

For more than 20 years, she has been performing for young patients at SIUT, a leading health care facility in Karachi, highly regarded for its urology and transplantation services, particularly kidney transplants. 

“If these children find happiness through my singing, then nothing is greater than that,” Imran said as she prepared for another session of singing. “I cannot see, but I truly feel their pain, what they’re going through, how hard it must be. When they smile, even briefly, it brings me deep inner peace.”

Her journey with SIUT began in February 2004, when she met Javed Mir, a musician with polio who hosted children’s music programs on national television. 

“He used to sit with me and sing for the children. He encouraged me and taught me so much,” she recalled.

During her first performance at SIUT’s children’s ward around two decades, Imran played national songs on a keyboard. 

The response was overwhelming — clapping, smiles, and laughter filled the room. But behind the joy, there was also visible pain.

“Many children were crying, they were in such pain,” she said.

Her mother, who had accompanied her to the hospital, gently urged her to continue and to be strong for the children who needed her.

Imran also credits the support of SIUT founder Professor Dr. Adib ul Hasan Rizvi as a defining moment. 

“He placed his hand on my head and said, ‘You are our daughter, and you can do anything.’ That gave me strength.”

Imran has since become a beloved fixture at SIUT. To her, music is not just art, it is also medicine. 

“It’s often said that music is food for the soul,” she said with a smile. “If you’re upset or sad, even humming a tune can help you feel better. That’s exactly how I see music as well.”

“NEVER LOSE HEART”

Founded in 1974 as a 12-bed ward within a public hospital, SIUT has grown into a 2000-bed hospital with multiple units. In 2024 alone, it treated 4.2 million patients, including over 600,000 outpatient visits and more than 500,000 dialysis sessions.

Professor Dr. Ali Asghar Lanewala, head of the Pediatric Nephrology Department, said the facility’s outpatient pediatric clinic saw 300 to 400 children on each of its four weekly working days, with families often waiting three to four hours to see a doctor. 

“Her very melodious voice creates a vibrant atmosphere, and she engages the children by singing familiar songs with them,” he told Arab News. “This way, the long three to four-hour waiting period becomes a bit easier for the children.”

Imran hopes she can carry on singing for as long as life allows her. 

“Never lose heart. Insha’Allah, everything will be fine,” she told the children as she started to tap the keys of her keyboard. 

“Children must stay brave and strong, and keep reminding themselves, ‘No, I have to get better’.”


Pakistan expects 2.7% economic growth in FY25 amid weak farm and industrial outlook

Updated 09 June 2025
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Pakistan expects 2.7% economic growth in FY25 amid weak farm and industrial outlook

  • Current account swings to $1.9 billion surplus after record remittance inflows and stronger exports
  • Some analysts expect industrial and services sectors to post decent growth due to lower interest rates

KARACHI: Pakistan’s economy is expected to grow 2.7 percent in the outgoing fiscal year, missing the government’s 3.7 percent target due to what analysts called weaker-than-expected performance in the agriculture and industrial sectors, as Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb unveiled the annual Economic Survey on Monday.

The survey, released ahead of the national budget on June 10, serves as a pre-budget document assessing the economy’s trajectory over the past year.

It outlines key indicators and policy challenges facing the country, which remains under an International Monetary Fund (IMF) program and is navigating a fragile recovery after a prolonged financial crisis.

“This has been a gradual recovery,” Aurangzeb told a televised news briefing in Islamabad, adding that the country’s economic performance must be viewed in the larger global context.

The finance minister said after contracting by 0.2 percent in FY23, Pakistan’s economy grew 2.5 percent last year and is expected to expand slightly to 2.7 percent in the outgoing year.

“We plan to stay the course to ensure that we remain on the sustainable growth trajectory,” he added.

Aurangzeb reaffirmed the government’s commitment to implementing IMF-backed structural reforms to transform the fundamentals of Pakistan’s economy.

“The DNA of Pakistan’s economy has to be fundamentally changed through tax and energy reforms that have started showing remarkable results,” he said.

The minister maintained staying in the IMF program would help Pakistan bring permanence to its hard-earned macroeconomic stability and reduce its economic vulnerability.

“Implementing a 37-month, US$7 billion IMF Extended Fund Facility (IMFEFF) has bolstered policy credibility and provided essential financial support to promote inclusive and reform-driven growth,” the Economic Survey also proclaimed.

Analysts said Pakistan targeted 3.7 percent economic growth for the outgoing fiscal year but was forced to revise it to 2.7 percent last month due to underperformance in the agriculture sector.

“The government did fall short of its 3.7 percent GDP growth target for FY25 and primarily it was due to a major setback in the agriculture sector,” said Sana Tawfik, head of research at Arif Habib Limited.

“The agriculture sector posted a growth of just 0.6 percent so the situation was especially concerning in major crops,” she added.

According to the survey, the agriculture sector is expected to grow by 0.56 percent, while the industrial and services sectors are likely to expand by 4.77 percent and 2.91 percent, respectively.

Meanwhile, inflation has eased significantly, giving room for monetary easing.

Aurangzeb called the inflation trend a “fantastic story” for Pakistan, with the pace of price hikes slowing to a record low of 0.3 percent in April. Inflation is expected to settle at 4.3 percent in the outgoing financial year.

The State Bank of Pakistan also cut its benchmark interest rate by over 1,000 basis points to 11 percent in FY25, with more easing likely ahead.

“This is the domain of the State Bank and the monetary policy committee so I don’t want to comment on that,” Aurangzeb said. “But I do expect where our core inflation is, where headline inflation is, there is room to do more.”

On the fiscal side, the survey showed that the government managed to contain the deficit at 2.6 percent of GDP for July-March, compared with 3.7 percent during the same period a year ago.

Revenues rose sharply, with tax collections increasing by 26.3 percent to Rs9.3 trillion ($32.9 billion), while total revenues stood at Rs13.4 trillion ($47.5 billion). Primary surplus also improved to 3.0 percent from 1.5 percent.

Government expenditure during this period rose to Rs16.3 trillion ($58 billion), with current and development spending increasing by 18.3 percent and 33 percent, respectively.

On the external front, Pakistan recorded a sharp turnaround in its current account, moving from a $1.3 billion deficit to a $1.9 billion surplus, driven by improved exports and record remittance inflows.

“The industry also struggled. If you look at the manufacturing sub-sector so LSM [large scale manufacturing] remained in the negative territory,” said Tawfik, noting that weak domestic demand, high inflation and elevated interest rates had weighed on performance.

“In short both demand and supply side factors combined dragged down the overall growth across key sectors of the economy,” she continued.

Aurangzeb said the government was working to further reduce energy costs for local investors.

“On the energy side, as I said one-third of the tariffs, seven rupee is not a small amount and Mr. Leghari [power minister] is working on it day in and day out,” he said.

Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal last week said the government was targeting 4.2 percent growth in the next fiscal year starting July. Aurangzeb echoed this target, noting that growth would be driven by a rebound in agriculture and industry.

“This target would be achieved through growth in industries and agriculture that are expected to rebound on the back of government’s favorable financial, tax and energy policies,” he said.

Pakistan’s multilateral and bilateral partners, including the IMF, World Bank, China, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, remain supportive of the country’s reform path.

“With respect to the Fund and multilateral partners I’ve already mentioned we are in a good place with them both in terms of the mission and the senior management of the Fund,” Aurangzeb said. “The monetary institutions and our bilateral partners are standing by us as we move forward.”

Shankar Talreja, an economist and director at Topline Research Ltd., expressed optimism about the outlook.

“There will be some natural rebound in important crops under the agriculture segment,” he said. “Similarly, due to lower interest rates, industrial and services sectors will also post decent growth.”


Over 50 killed, dozens injured in accidents and shootings during Eid in northwest Pakistan

Updated 09 June 2025
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Over 50 killed, dozens injured in accidents and shootings during Eid in northwest Pakistan

  • Fatalities occurred in road accidents, drownings, fires and gun violence across Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
  • Mardan and Peshawar districts reported the highest death tolls with 14 and 13 fatalities, respectively

PESHAWAR: At least 55 people were killed and 50 others injured in various incidents across Pakistan’s northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province during the three days of Eid Al-Adha, rescue officials said on Monday.

The fatalities were reported in traffic accidents, drowning incidents, fires and gun violence across multiple districts, including the provincial capital, Peshawar. The injured were taken to local hospitals for medical treatment, according to a statement released by Rescue 1122.

“The total number of deaths across the province during the Eid holidays has reached 55,” Shah Fahad, Director General of Rescue 1122 in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, said. “Fifty others were injured in shooting incidents and provided emergency medical aid.”

According to the data, Rescue 1122 responded to about 2,000 emergencies and provided medical assistance to 1,897 individuals across the province during Eid.

These included 1,400 medical emergencies, 349 traffic accidents, 112 fire incidents, six drowning cases and 50 crime-related incidents.

In Peshawar alone, the agency handled 418 emergency calls, including 43 road accidents, 338 medical cases, 20 fire incidents and eight gun-related injuries. A total of 431 patients were transported to hospitals in the city.

District-wise, the highest number of fatalities was reported in Mardan (14) and Peshawar (13).

Fire incidents on festive occasions in the province are often caused by barbecues or fireworks, while traffic accidents typically stem from congestion, reckless driving by youth and occasional road rage.

Drowning incidents occur when people visit rivers or lakes for boating without adequate safety measures, and gun-related injuries often result from either criminal activity or celebratory gunfire.

 


New Karachi-based private airline receives license, plans launch with three aircraft

Updated 09 June 2025
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New Karachi-based private airline receives license, plans launch with three aircraft

  • Air Karachi is backed by prominent Pakistani business leaders and modeled on Air Sial
  • It plans to expand its fleet to seven aircraft and begin international flights within a year

KARACHI: A new private airline based in Karachi received its Regular Public Transport (RPT) license from Pakistan’s Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) last week, one of its key stakeholders confirmed on Monday, expressing hope the carrier would begin operations soon.

Air Karachi, spearheaded by prominent business leaders from Pakistan’s southern port city, is modeled after the success of Air Sial, another airline launched by industrialists in Sialkot.

The idea, conceived amid growing challenges faced by the country’s national carrier Pakistan International Airlines (PIA), is to develop a business-backed airline that can operate with efficiency and financial autonomy.

“Yes, we got the license from CAA,” Hanif Gohar, one of the airline’s shareholders, told Arab News. “We are looking for aircraft and will start with three aircraft soon.”

Gohar said Air Karachi was issued the RPT license by the CAA on June 5.

According to a copy of the approval letter seen by Arab News, the airline has been directed to deposit a license issuance fee of Rs500,000 ($1,750) and a security deposit of Rs100 million ($350,000). It must also raise its paid-up capital to

Rs600 million ($2.1 million) before commencing operations, in line with the National Aviation Policy 2023.

Air Karachi has been registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan and plans to raise Rs5 billion ($17.5 million) by pooling Rs50 million ($175,000) from each of its 100 shareholders.

Last year, Gohar told Arab News the response from Karachi’s business community was so overwhelming that some families proposed contributing as multiple shareholders.

He informed that aviation veteran Air Vice Marshal (r) Imran Qadir had been appointed chief operating officer of the airline, supported by a team of retired Pakistan Air Force officials.

Once operational, Air Karachi will begin domestic flights with three aircraft and later expand its fleet to seven before launching international flights to the Middle East after the mandatory one-year domestic run.
 


Brushstrokes on a budget: How Islamabad Sunday Bazaar stall became thriving art academy

Updated 09 June 2025
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Brushstrokes on a budget: How Islamabad Sunday Bazaar stall became thriving art academy

  • Husband and wife Azhar and Shagufta Qureshi run Knowledge Art Academy from Itwar Bazaar stall 
  • Students at the school range from ages 5 to 81 and can get classes for nominal three-month fee of $12

ISLAMABAD: Several works of Islamic calligraphy, landscape art and whirling dervish paintings hung on the walls of the stall while around a dozen students sat bent over canvases while husband and wife duo Azhar Qureshi and Shagufta watched over them.

The scene is from the Knowledge Art Academy, located in a quiet corner between a long row of stalls at Islamabad’s Sunday, or Itwar, Bazaar, a popular spot for the capital city’s middle classes who come for the affordable shopping and to buy used and cheap items. 

Here, nestled between toys, crockery and ceramics kiosks, the Knowledge Art Academy, a tin roof supported by wooden sticks, offers art classes at the affordable price of around $12 for three months of lessons. 

The teachers are Shagufta and Qureshi, who has a fine arts diploma from Lahore, and has been running the academy for the past 14 years, offering an attractive alternative to pricey art schools in Islamabad.

“Our aim was to start this so that people who are interested in art can easily join our classes,” Shagufta told Arab News at the stall. “Our fee is also very reasonable. Art is a very expensive hobby which not everyone can afford. Since people from all backgrounds come here, that’s why we opted to arrange our setup here.”

Azhar Qureshi (left) poses for Arab News in his art school, Knowledge Art Academy, in Islamabad's Sunday bazaar on May 30, 2025. (AN Photo) 

The academy has students ranging from age five to those in their eighties.

“I was interested in learning how to paint,” Zamad Ahmed, a second year intermediate student who attends the academy with his 15-year-old sister Fatima, told Arab News. “But due to affordability I never learned it. But after my mother stumbled upon this place, I knew I had to attend it.”

Another student is Abdul Bari, an 81-year-old retired bank manager, who visits the academy weekly to pursue his passion for Islamic calligraphy.

“After retiring as a bank manager and marrying off my kids, I have been coming here for a year-and-a-half to learn from the maestro himself,” Bari said. 

“It has been 1.5 to 2 years that I have come here to learn. I am retired so I come here to spend time, and by the grace of Allah, I have learned a lot from here also.”

“HEALTHY ACTIVITY”

Art schools in Pakistan, particularly those offering undergraduate programs, can be quite expensive, with some institutions charging upwards of $2,500 per year for tuition alone. The National College of Arts (NCA) is a notable example of a public university that offers art programs and has relatively high tuition fees. Other expenses, such as accommodation and transportation, can further contribute to the overall cost of attending art school in Pakistan. 

This attracts many to the low-cost Knowledge Art Academy. 

Azhar Qureshi (left) poses for Arab News in his art school, Knowledge Art Academy, in Islamabad's Sunday bazaar on May 30, 2025. (AN Photo) 

A middle-aged corporate professional who only identified himself by his first name Ijaz said he had admitted his three daughters to the academy so they could do something “productive” during their summer vacations at an affordable price. 

“We have come to generate healthy activities for them,” he said. “Rather than sitting at home and wasting time on gadgets, on mobile or watching movies. I just want to generate some healthy activity so that they can learn something.”

While Qureshi said he had received various offers from prestigious art schools and institutions, he was committed to remain focused on his humble setup.

“I’ve even been told to move to a proper building or classroom and teach from there,” Qureshi said. “But that would increase the fees and affect my students who come here to follow their passion. I don’t want to disturb them.”

And his dedication has borne fruit, with several of his students pursuing fine arts formally while others have become art teachers and freelance artists.
 
Rabiya Noureen, 34, who learnt to paint at the Knowledge Art Academy, now runs her own classes. 

“I learned painting from here and now have my own academy,” she said. “Now, my students even take commissioned painting work and earn money.”