NEW YORK: Morgan Stanley has raised its global oil demand growth estimate for this year by about 36 percent, citing growing momentum in China’s reopening and a recovery in aviation, but flagged higher supply from Russia as an offseting factor.
Global oil consumption is now expected to increase by about 1.9 million barrels per day, versus its previous 1.4 million bpd forecast, the bank said in a note dated Tuesday.
“Mobility indicators for China, such as congestion, have been rising steadily,” while “flight schedules have firmed-up the outlook for jet fuel demand,” the bank said.
But supply from Russia has been stronger than expected, leading to a slightly smaller than previously assumed deficit in the second half of the year, analysts at the bank wrote, trimming their Brent oil price forecast for that period to $90-100 a barrel from $100-110 previously.
“We previously estimated a 1 mb/d year-on-year decline in 2023, which we moderate to 0.4 mb/d,” the bank said, referring to its Russian output outlook in million barrels per day.
Earlier this month, Goldman Sachs cut its 2023 Brent price forecast and raised its global supply forecasts for 2023 and 2024, with Russia, Kazakhstan and the US the most notable upward adjustments.
But Goldman also noted that a 1.1 million bpd rise in Chinese demand this year should push oil markets back into a deficit in June.
Oil prices fell for a third straight session on Wednesday, with benchmark Brent crude trading around $82.75 per barrel on worries over the impact of higher US interests on economic growth and fuel demand.
However, expectations of tighter global supplies and rising demand from China cushioned the overall price weakness.
Morgan Stanley raises 2023 oil demand growth estimate by 36%
https://arab.news/n9hud
Morgan Stanley raises 2023 oil demand growth estimate by 36%
Diriyah Co. partners with Kakao Mobility to develop smart mobility solutions
RIYADH: Diriyah Co. has signed a memorandum of understanding with Kakao Mobility, a South Korea-based company, to ensure seamless transportation across the heritage city.
In a post on X, the company, backed by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, announced that its memorandum of understanding with the South Korean entity will focus on developing smart mobility solutions to serve 50 million annual visitors during the first phase of the Diriyah project.
Under the deal, Kakao Mobility will work on the Diriyah project to support seamless digital integration and transportation services, as well as parking facilities, across the city.
Developing advanced capabilities in tourism projects, such as Diriyah, is crucial for the Kingdom, as the nation is currently pursuing an economic diversification strategy by reducing its reliance on crude oil revenues.
Saudi Arabia’s National Tourism Strategy aims to attract 150 million visitors by the end of this decade.
“Mobility to shape the future of urban mobility. This collaboration brings smart, sustainable solutions to life, enhancing the digital movement experience for over 50 million annual visits by 2030,” said Diriyah Co. in the X post.
The partnership aims to implement transport solutions in a progressive and phased manner, starting with a smart parking pilot project.
The PIF-backed firm added that the deal would also include the development of a fully integrated smart parking infrastructure prototype and the enhancement of advanced digital systems to improve mobility efficiency.
To ensure sustainable urban mobility, the partnership seeks to develop a cutting-edge digital platform connecting selected locations within Diriyah.
The company added that these efforts will support the broader goals of Saudi Vision 2030 through innovation and technical integration.
The Diriyah development project aims to generate around 178,000 job opportunities and is expected to contribute SR18.6 billion ($4.96 billion) to the Kingdom’s gross domestic product upon completion.
In April, Diriyah Co. awarded an SR5.1 billion contract for the construction of the Royal Diriyah Opera House, one of the most prominent cultural assets in the heritage city.
The firm awarded the contracts to El-Seif Engineering Contracting, Midmac Contracting Co. W.L.L., and the China State Construction Engineering Corp.
Can the green tea wave topple the Middle East’s coffee culture?
- In Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Riyadh, specialty cafes now offer matcha lattes alongside traditional karak chai
RIYADH: Once reserved for Japan’s sacred tea ceremonies, matcha has become a global sensation, infusing everything from lattes and desserts to skincare routines. Now, it is entering the Middle East, where coffee has long held cultural and culinary dominance.
Matcha’s rise in the MENA region is driven by health-conscious millennials, social media-friendly cafe culture, and a booming fitness scene. With its high antioxidant content, clean caffeine boost, and vibrant green hue, it’s quickly become a favorite among wellness enthusiasts.
But can it compete with the deeply ingrained coffee rituals of the Arab world, where coffee and espresso are daily staples?
The economic landscape: Aligning with Vision 2030
As part of its ambitious Vision 2030 initiative, Saudi Arabia is actively working to diversify its economy and reduce its long-standing reliance on oil revenues. Central to this transformation is the food and beverage sector, which has emerged as a key driver of economic growth.
In 2022, the food and agriculture sector contributed approximately SR100 billion ($26.6 billion) to the Kingdom’s gross domestic product, the highest on record.
The government aims to attract $20 billion in investments into the food industry by 2035, focusing on enhancing food security and broader economic sustainability.
Supporting this momentum is the “Made in Saudi” initiative, launched in 2021 to boost domestic production and services. One of its core goals is to raise the non-oil sector’s contribution to gross domestic product from 16 percent to 50 percent by 2030, making room for innovative products and emerging markets, including health-focused offerings like matcha.
A growing opportunity: the regional matcha market
This strategic shift aligns well with the rising demand for functional foods and beverages across the region. In the Middle East and Africa region, the matcha market is experiencing steady growth, signaling a strong opportunity for Saudi Arabia to enter a promising space.
In 2023, the MEA matcha market generated approximately $86.1 million in revenue, and projections estimate it will grow to $110.7 million by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.6 percent.
Notably, ceremonial grade matcha, the highest quality used in traditional preparation, is currently the top revenue-generating segment and is expected to see the fastest growth, underscoring the premium positioning of matcha and consumer interest in wellness-driven, culturally rich products.
Matcha vs. coffee: A nutritional and cultural perspective
To better understand matcha’s potential in the Middle East, licensed Lebanese dietitian Reem Harb compared it to coffee in terms of health benefits, energy effects, and cultural fit.
A shade-grown green tea consumed in powdered form, matcha boasts superior levels of phytochemicals like chlorophyll and quercetin, as well as antioxidants such as epigallocatechin gallate, compared to other green teas. However, its caffeine content sits between traditional green tea and coffee.
Unlike coffee, matcha provides a gentler energy boost without a crash. “This is due to the presence of L-theanine, an amino acid that interacts with caffeine to improve cognitive function and energy levels,” Harb said in an interview with Arab News.
Ceremonial matcha is often used for lattes or smoothies due to its perceived health benefits, but this reduces availability for traditional preparations.
Simona Suzuki, president of the Global Japanese Tea Association
The Middle East’s coffee culture is deeply rooted in tradition, from Turkish coffee ceremonies to the social ritual of sharing Arabic coffee. With its earthy and slightly bitter taste, Matcha may initially clash with regional preferences for sweet, aromatic beverages.
However, Harb believed matcha could complement traditional diets if introduced thoughtfully. “Matcha lattes can be a healthier alternative to sugary drinks, especially when prepared without added syrups. Alternating between Arabic coffee and matcha could diversify beverage choices while preserving cultural experiences,” she suggested.
From Kyoto to the MENA: Matcha’s Global Surge
While matcha’s health benefits make it appealing, its journey from Japanese tea fields to Middle Eastern cafes hasn’t been without challenges.
Japan’s matcha industry has seen production nearly triple since 2010, with exports soaring as global demand skyrockets.
This surge in demand, however, has sparked concerns about shortages, prompting renowned Kyoto tea houses like Ippodo and Marukyu Koyamaen to impose purchase limits last year. Social media buzz and the rising demand for functional foods have turned matcha into a must-have trend that Middle Eastern cafes and startups are racing to meet.
Speaking with Arab News, Simona Suzuki, president of the Global Japanese Tea Association, said: “While matcha production in Japan is increasing, it remains relatively limited in scale ... Global demand has surged dramatically, leading to shortages in Japan.”
The rapid growth has strained supply chains, and Suzuki noted it may take time for production to catch up. She also emphasized the importance of using matcha appropriately: “Ceremonial matcha is often used for lattes or smoothies due to its perceived health benefits, but this reduces availability for traditional preparations.”
In Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Riyadh, specialty cafes now offer matcha lattes alongside traditional karak chai, while local brands experiment with regional twists like matcha-infused dates or cardamom-dusted matcha desserts.
Importing high-grade matcha, however, which relies on specific Japanese tea plant varieties like samidori and yabukita, is costly and logistically complex.
Suzuki encouraged businesses to build direct relationships with producers: “We strongly encourage visiting Japan to connect with tea growers and gain a deeper understanding of cultivation and processing.”
In 2024, THE MATCHA TOKYO, a Japanese organic matcha brand, made its Gulf Cooperation Council debut with a beachside cafe in Dubai. The brand chose Dubai due to the strong presence of Emirati customers at its Tokyo outlets. Beyond Japan and the GCC, THE MATCHA TOKYO has expanded across Asia, with locations in Hong Kong, the Philippines, Bangkok, and Shanghai.
Suzuki remained optimistic about the future of Japanese teas in the region, stating that while matcha is popular, the Global Japanese Tea Association is passionate about introducing the full spectrum of authentic Japanese teas, including sencha, gyokuro, hojicha, and wakocha, to the world.
As Middle Eastern consumers increasingly prioritize wellness while staying rooted in tradition, matcha isn’t replacing coffee, but it’s carving out a lasting niche of its own.
Mining, entertainment sectors eye 100bn in investments by 2030
- Ongoing regulatory reforms are making the Kingdom an attractive destination for foreign investments
RIYADH: Saudi Arabia is steadily progressing in its journey to attract $100 billion in foreign direct investments by the end of this decade, with the Kingdom heavily focusing on securing funds in high-growth sectors, experts have said.
Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 economic diversification program aims to transform its economic landscape, including attracting foreign direct investment and increasing FDI’s contribution to the Kingdom’s gross domestic product.
To facilitate and increase FDI, in August Saudi Arabia approved an updated investment law, aimed at boosting transparency and easing the process of investing in the Kingdom.
Speaking to Arab News, Emilio El-Asmar, partner at Oliver Wyman’s Government and Public Institutions practice – India, Middle East and Africa, said that the mining sector is one of the most promising industries that will help the Kingdom achieve its FDI goals by 2030.
He also pointed out that the ongoing regulatory reforms happening in Saudi Arabia are making the Kingdom an attractive destination for foreign investments.
“Saudi Arabia’s National Investment Strategy, central to Vision 2030, aims to transform the Kingdom into a globally competitive, innovation-driven economy,” said El-Asmar.
Saudi Arabia offers geopolitical neutrality, long-term offtake potential, and value-add opportunities.
Emilio El-Asmar, partner at Oliver Wyman’s Government and Public Institutions practice – India, Middle East and Africa
He added: “Mining and metals are among the most promising areas, as the Kingdom has $2.5 trillion worth of untapped resources, including gold, copper, lithium, and rare earth elements, which are vital to energy transition and global industry. Regulatory reforms and integrated industrial zones are opening this frontier market to international investment.”
The comments from the Oliver Wyman official come after Saudi Arabia launched a new incentive package to attract foreign direct investments into the nation’s mining sector.
The Ministry of Investment is collaborating closely with the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources through an exploration enablement program aimed at simplifying investments in the mineral exploration industry, the Saudi Press Agency reported in March.
Ryan Alnesayan, partner at Arthur D. Little in the Middle East region, also echoed similar views and said that the mining sector could become a game changer in Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification journey.
“The new mining law and exploration incentives are attracting serious interest, and the Kingdom is positioning itself as a global mining hub with reliable data, infrastructure, and long-term demand,” said Alnesayan.
El-Asmar further said that Saudi Arabia’s Ras Al-Khair and Wa’ad Al Shamal offer integrated infrastructure, rail and port access, and proximity to downstream processing, making them investment-friendly destinations for international entities.
“These ecosystems support refining, smelting, and metal fabrication. A pipeline of investable projects, from exploration to processing, is backed by national institutions including the Public Investment Fund and industrial champions,” said the Oliver Wyman official.
Global players are investing in everything from gaming and digital media to smart cities and AI.
Ryan Alnesayan, partner at Arthur D. Little in the Middle East region
He added: “As global supply chains seek secure mineral sources, Saudi Arabia offers geopolitical neutrality, long-term offtake potential, and value-add opportunities. Its location between Africa, Asia, and Europe gives investors access to regional growth markets.”
In January, speaking at the Future Minerals Forum, Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef said the nation seeks to promote exploration opportunities across 5,000 sq. km of mineralized belts in 2025, aligned with the Kingdom’s broader plans to establish mining as the third pillar of its industrial economy.
In May, a report released by the General Authority for Statistics revealed that net FDI into Saudi Arabia stood at SR22.1 billion ($5.89 billion) in the fourth quarter of 2024, representing a rise of 26 percent compared to the previous three months.
GASTAT also added that this figure was the highest level across the year, surpassing the SR15.5 billion seen in the first three months of 2024, the SR19 billion recorded in the second quarter, and the SR17.5 billion witnessed in the third.
This development comes after Saudi Arabia rose to 13th place in Kearney’s 2025 Foreign Direct Investment Confidence Index, published in April.
This is up one spot from last year and also means the Kingdom retained its position as the third-most attractive emerging market, signaling continued global confidence in its transformation strategy.
Kearney added that the ranking reflects the nation’s bold, reform-driven approach to building an internationally competitive, future-ready economy.
Other crucial sectors
El-Asmar also outlined other crucial areas that could drive FDI into Saudi Arabia in the coming years.
According to the Oliver Wyman official, sectors including pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and petrochemicals are also expected to see foreign funds pour into the Kingdom.
He added: “In petrochemicals, Saudi Arabia is expanding beyond crude oil into speciality chemicals, high-performance plastics, and packaging, backed by integrated feedstock and logistics infrastructure.”
El-Asmar said that Saudi Arabia is ranked second among G20 countries in digital competitiveness, and the Kingdom has strong infrastructure, forward-looking regulations, and digital competitiveness capable of drawing FDI in AI, cloud, cybersecurity, smart city tech, fintech, and health tech.
“Incentives include regulatory sandboxes, IP protections, and access to a growing consumer and enterprise market, making the Kingdom attractive for global tech firms and startups,” said El-Asmar.
Alnesayan also highlighted the role of technology and entertainment sectors in materialising Saudi Arabia’s FDI goals.
“Entertainment and tech reflect Saudi Arabia’s new growth story. Global players are investing in everything from gaming and digital media to smart cities and AI. These sectors are fueling job creation, innovation, and a dynamic consumer market,” said the Arthur D. Little official.
El-Asmar agreed that the entertainment sector is central to Saudi Arabia’s diversification and FDI strategy, reflecting cultural openness and rising domestic demand.
“With a population of 35 million and rising demand for premium experiences, the Kingdom is seeing growth in cinemas, theme parks, live events, and content production. Major international brands are entering the market, supported by co-investment and giga-projects like Qiddiya,” he said.
RHQ program and FDI
Alnesayan believes that Saudi Arabia’s regional headquarters program is emerging as one of the key drivers of FDI in the Kingdom.
“The RHQ Program is not just about relocating offices — it’s about anchoring decision-making in Riyadh. That brings investment, talent, and deeper regional integration. We’ve already seen over 600 companies commit, and the momentum is accelerating,” he said.
Saudi Arabia’s regional headquarters program offers incentives such as a 30-year corporate income tax exemption, withholding tax immunity, and various support services for international businesses.
Some of the noted firms that relocated their headquarters to the Kingdom are Northern Trust, Bechtel and Pepsico from the US, and IHG Hotels and Resorts, PwC, and Deloitte from the UK.
El-Asmar also highlighted the importance of the RHQ program and said that Saudi Arabia’s location — at the crossroads of Europe, Asia, and Africa — makes it an ideal base for regional operations.
Potential challenges
Despite all these positive developments, experts also outlined some of the challenges Saudi Arabia could face in achieving its FDI targets within the stipulated timeline.
“The fundamentals are strong, but challenges remain — global volatility, talent gaps, and the need for ongoing regulatory clarity. But the Kingdom is addressing these head-on through reforms, infrastructure investment, and strategic partnerships that reduce risk and increase investor confidence,” said Alnesayan.
El-Asmar said that foreign investors need predictability, and to address this, Saudi Arabia has launched the Investor Confidence Protection Mechanism and Investor Council, alongside legal reforms including English-language documentation and digital licensing portals.
“High operational costs and complex procedures persist in some sectors. Special Economic Zones, tax incentives, and digital services are helping to reduce these barriers and simplify market entry,” said El-Asmar.
He concluded: “While these challenges are real, Saudi Arabia’s strategic reforms, long-term vision, and favorable location continue to make it one of the world’s most promising emerging FDI destinations.”
MENA startups accelerate with strategic deals
- Investors position for scale amid a rapidly evolving market landscape
RIYADH: Startups across the Middle East and North Africa continued to attract capital, pursue strategic acquisitions, and expand regional footprints this week, underscoring the growing momentum in the region’s innovation ecosystem.
From early-stage funding rounds to regulatory milestones, founders and investors are positioning for scale amid a competitive and rapidly evolving market landscape.
On the acquisition front, UAE-based Tech Universal Ventures has taken over the majority share of FixSquad, an Emirati mobile and electronics servicing brand, and ELVA11, a Swedish AI and software consultancy, as part of its strategy to build a global network of digital infrastructure companies.
FixSquad operates across the Gulf Cooperation Council region with a hybrid consumer-enterprise model and is introducing a regional franchise framework, while ELVA11 offers software development, AI consulting, and digital education services from its offices in Malmo and Stockholm.
“These acquisitions reflect our strategy to build and back companies delivering core infrastructure for digital growth,” said Darko Atijas, chief operating officer at TUV.
Fintech startup Stitch raises $10m seed round
Riyadh-based Stitch has secured $10 million in a seed round led by Arbor Ventures, COTU Ventures, Raed Ventures, and Saudi Venture Capital, with additional support from family offices and angel investors.
Founded in 2022, the company offers an API-driven platform that allows financial institutions to build and deploy digital solutions more efficiently than legacy infrastructure.
“At Stitch, our vision is to reinvent how financial and non-financial institutions bring banking and payment products to market,” said Mohamed Oueida, founder and CEO of Stitch.
Qashio secures $19.8m to expand into KSA
UAE-based spend management platform Qashio has raised $19.8 million in equity and non-equity funding.
The round was led by Rocketship VC, with participation from MoreThan Capital, regional banks, and family offices.
Founded in 2021, Qashio plans to enter the Saudi market and enhance its B2B loyalty program across MENA.
Qashio previously raised $10 million in a seed round in 2022.
BirdEye raises $586k pre-seed
Saudi startup BirdEye has closed a $586,000 pre-seed funding round led by a private tech-focused fund.
Founded in November by Abdullah bin Omairah and Abdulrahman Al-Hassan, BirdEye offers an operations management platform tailored for small and medium-sized retailers undergoing digital transformation.
The investment will support the company’s national expansion and team growth.
Gainz closes 7-figure pre-seed round
UAE-based Gainz has raised a 7-figure US dollar pre-seed round in a mix of equity and debt led by Antler MENAP, Lithium Holdings, and Eleventh Invest Inc.
Founded in December, Gainz offers a Shariah-compliant crowdfunding platform that allows individuals to invest in vetted SMEs.
The platform leverages AI to democratize access to working capital for businesses across the region.
The new funding will go toward scaling operations and product innovation.
COREangels MEA launches $10m fund
COREangels MEA, in partnership with PTS Holdings and the Arab Academy, has launched a $10 million investment fund focused on early-stage fintech startups aligned with the UN Sustainable Development Goals.
During its 5th Investment Committee in Cairo, five startups — eMaisha Pay, RentBeta, Aqua Offers, Monak, and Reeple — were selected to receive up to $150,000 each.
The fund employs a hybrid model combining global angel networks with local innovation expertise.
Toolmart raises seed funding
Iraq-based B2B e-commerce startup Toolmart has secured seed funding from Plus VC, Oasis500, and other angel investors.
Founded in 2022, Toolmart provides a digital procurement platform that helps enterprises reduce costs and streamline sourcing.
The new capital will be used to expand its team and operations across the region.
Valu to begin trading on EGX in June
Egypt’s leading buy now, pay later platform Valu is set to begin trading on the Egyptian Exchange during the week of June 22, following an in-kind share distribution by parent company EFG Holding.
Official listing occurred on May 21, 2025.
Founded in 2017, Valu operates in Egypt and Saudi Arabia and reported 3.1 billion Egyptian pounds in gross revenue and 423 million Egyptian pounds in net profit for 2024.
Bloomspoon gets $218k on Shark Tank Dubai
UAE-based greentech startup Bloomspoon raised $218,000 for 49 percent equity on Shark Tank Dubai.
Founded in 2023 by Mostafa Khattab, Bloomspoon makes reusable cutlery from wheat straw embedded with seeds that can be planted after use.
The funding will help expand product lines, boost retail distribution, and work toward B Corp. certification.
Google launches second ‘AI First’ accelerator
Google has launched the second edition of its “Google for Startups Accelerator: AI First” program for the MENA and Turkiye region.
The 12-week program is aimed at Seed to series A startups using AI to develop scalable solutions.
It offers technical resources including cloud credits and mentorship.
MENA sees 31 percent increase in M&A deals in Q1, led by UAE and tech sector
According to EY’s MENA M&A Insights report, the region recorded 225 deals worth $46 billion in the first quarter of the year, a 31 percent year-on-year increase in volume and 66 percent rise in value.
Cross-border activity accounted for over half of all agreements and 81 percent of total value.
The UAE led with 63 deals totaling $20.3 billion. The technology sector dominated domestic M&A, accounting for 37 percent of deal value.
The largest domestic transaction was Group 42’s $2.2 billion acquisition of a 40 percent stake in Khazna Data Centers.
Saudi Aramco could tap debt markets again after $5bn bond sale
DUBAI: Saudi Aramco has published a new prospectus for its issuance program of Islamic bonds or sukuk, signalling the state oil major may soon tap the debt markets again after it raised $5 billion from a three-part bond sale this week.
The prospectus, submitted to the London Stock Exchange where the sukuk would be listed, is dated May 30. Aramco has a year to issue sukuk under its terms.
Aramco earlier this week raised $5 billion from a sale of conventional bonds. The borrowing comes after economic uncertainty and rising supply hit crude markets, denting the top oil exporter’s profits.
“Aramco is likely looking to take advantage of a window of relative market calm to issue debt again,” said Zeina Rizk, co-head of fixed income at Amwal Capital Partners.
Aramco in March said it expected to slash its dividend this year by nearly a third as profits and free cash flow decline.
Reuters reported last week that Aramco is exploring potential asset sales to free up funds as it pursues international expansion and weathers lower crude prices.
Citi, HSBC and JPMorgan are the arrangers of the sukuk program and are joined as dealers by First Abu Dhabi Bank, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, SNB Capital and Standard Chartered.
