Oman’s public revenues see annual rise of 2.3%

Oman’s public revenues see annual rise of 2.3%
Oman’s economic landscape is heavily influenced by its reliance on oil and gas revenues, making it vulnerable to global price fluctuations. ONA
Short Url
Updated 10 October 2024
Follow

Oman’s public revenues see annual rise of 2.3%

Oman’s public revenues see annual rise of 2.3%
  • Net oil revenues reached an estimated 4.65 billion by the end of August
  • Average achieved oil price reached $83 per barrel

RIYADH: An increase in Oman’s net oil revenues drove a 2.3 percent year-on-year rise in public earnings, reaching 8.12 billion Omani rials ($21.07 billion) between January and the end of August, according to new figures. 

The monthly bulletin issued by the Ministry of Finance said that net oil revenues reached an estimated 4.65 billion rials by the end of August, reflecting a 12 percent surge compared to the same period last year.  

The growth in figures suggests vibrant and expanding economic activity, with more funds circulating within the country. 

Oman’s public revenue saw an annual decline of 2 percent year on year in the second quarter, reaching $16.1 billion, the country’s news agency reported in August.  

The sultanate’s economic landscape is heavily influenced by its reliance on oil and gas revenues, making it vulnerable to global price fluctuations.  

The government has been actively working to diversify the economy and reduce dependence on hydrocarbons as part of its Vision 2040 plan. 

The bulletin further showed that the average achieved oil price reached $83 per barrel, while the average oil production amounted to about 1.1 million barrels per day. 

The increase in net oil revenues is attributed to the methodology used by the government-owned firm Energy Development Oman to collect crude earnings and manage cash liquidity.

Net gas revenues reached 1.43 billion rials, reflecting a 15 percent drop by the end of August compared to the corresponding period in 2023. This is due to the change in the methodology for collecting gas revenues.

Current earnings collected until the end of August also decreased by 104 million rials compared to the same period last year to reach about 2.23 billion rials.

The bulletin also revealed that public spending until the end of August amounted to 7.66 billion, an increase of 7 percent compared to actual expenditure during the same period of 2023.

The most prominent expense is the current civil ministry fees, which amounted to 5.43 billion rials, down by 30 million rials compared to the same period in 2023.

Development expenditures of ministries and civil units amounted to 735 million rials by the end of August, with a disbursement rate of 82 percent of the total development liquidity allocated for 2024, which amounted to 900 million rials.

Total contributions and other expenditures amounted to 1.44 billion rials, up by 58 percent year on year. This is primarily owed to the implementation of the social protection system this year.

Support for the social protection system, electricity sector, and petroleum products until the end of August amounted to about 373 million rials, 295 million rials, and 191 million rials, respectively, while the transfer to the debt repayment provision amounted to 266 million rials.

With regard to global and local economic performance, the bulletin explained that the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development indicated in its interim outlook report issued in September that global growth is expected to stabilize at 3.2 percent in 2024 and 2025, in line with the average increase rate observed during the first half of this year.

The organization also suggested that the delayed impact of tightening monetary policy in the economies of advanced countries has begun to moderate, in addition to easing monetary policies and lower inflation that will support interest rates in 2025. It also disclosed that the inflation rate decline will provide additional support to the growth of real per capita income and private consumption in many economies.

Regarding global oil markets, the bulletin stated that according to the US Energy Information Administration’s Short-Term Energy Outlook report in September, the average price of Brent spot crude is expected to reach about $83 per barrel in 2024, while the average price of Brent spot crude is expected to reach $84 per barrel in 2025.

As for the local economy, S&P raised its credit rating for the Sultanate of Oman to “BBB-” with a stable outlook in its report issued in September, placing it in the first degrees of the investment worthiness index after seven years.

This is due to the continued measures to improve public finances through development initiatives and efforts in the financial and economic sectors and government restructuring. This contributed to restoring the monetary balance between revenues and public spending as intended in the medium-term plan.

This comes in addition to the government’s commitment to reducing the state’s public debt, managing government companies, and decreasing indebtedness.

The agency expected that Oman would achieve moderate financial surpluses of 1.9 percent during the period from 2024 to 2027, growth in real gross domestic product of about 2 percent annually, and record financial surpluses in the current balance of 1.2 percent of GDP.


Pakistan inflation inches up 3.5% year-on-year in May 2025

Pakistan inflation inches up 3.5% year-on-year in May 2025
Updated 29 sec ago
Follow

Pakistan inflation inches up 3.5% year-on-year in May 2025

Pakistan inflation inches up 3.5% year-on-year in May 2025
  • Inflation has cooled significantly, easing from 37.97% in May 2023
  • Federal budget for fiscal year 2025-26 will be released on June 10

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s annual inflation rate rose to 3.5% in May, higher than the April 2025 reading of 0.3%, data from the statistics bureau showed on Monday.

On a month-on-month basis, inflation decreased by 0.2% in May 2025, as compared to a decrease of 0.8% in the previous month and a decrease of 3.2% in May 2024. The CPI inflation average during 11MFY25 stood at 4.61 percent, compared to 24.52% in 11MFY24.

Inflation has cooled significantly, easing from 37.97% in May 2023. 

The CPI reading is higher than the government’s expectations. In its monthly economic report released last week, the finance ministry expected inflation to ease to between 1.5% and 2% year-on-year in May, before picking up to 3%-4% in June.

“Improved weather conditions, better crop yields and a stable exchange rate have helped reduce inflation to a historical low,” the finance ministry report had said, adding that “inflation is projected to remain between 1.5-2.0% in May, with a possible rise to 3.0-4.0 percent by June 2025.”

The latest CPI reading was also higher than projections made by several brokerage houses.

JS Global projected Pakistan’s headline inflation to inch up to 2.7% in May.

“Pakistan’s CPI is expected to clock in at 2.7 percent for May. The base effect is now fading, signaling a return to normalized price trends. This is likely to take 11MFY25 average inflation to 4.7%, down from 11MFY24 average of 24.9%,” JS Global had said in a report. 

Last month, the State Bank of Pakistan cut the key interest rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 11%, the lowest policy rate since March 2022 (9.75%). The central bank has cut the rate by 1,100 bps since June from an all-time high of 22%.


Co-processing can help Middle East become sustainable aviation fuel hub: IATA official

Co-processing can help Middle East become sustainable aviation fuel hub: IATA official
Updated 29 sec ago
Follow

Co-processing can help Middle East become sustainable aviation fuel hub: IATA official

Co-processing can help Middle East become sustainable aviation fuel hub: IATA official

NEW DELHI: The Middle East has all the potential to emerge as a global hub for sustainable aviation fuel production thanks to co-processing opportunities available in the region, according to a top official. 

Speaking to Arab News on the sidelines of the International Air Transport Association’s Annual General Meeting in New Delhi, Marie Owens Thomsen, senior vice president of sustainability and chief economist at IATA, said that the world should act now to increase the production of SAF to meet decarbonization targets. 

This comes as the region accelerates efforts to produce the fuel, with Saudi Arabia’s Nordic Electrofuel-backed project announcing in January a Jubail plant targeting 350 million liters annually by 2029, using renewable hydrogen and solar PV. 

The UAE, meanwhile, aims for 700 million liters by 2031, supported by Emirates, Etihad, and Air Arabia. Emirates has secured over 3 million gallons from Neste for 2024–25 flights, while Shell began supplying SAF at Dubai Airport in 2023. 

In her interview, Thomsen said: “The Middle East has huge opportunities for co-processing. What we are seeing across the world is insufficient production of SAF.” 

Co-processing is the use of renewable feedstock in conventional fossil fuel units. This method allows existing traditional fuel refineries to seamlessly integrate renewable feedstocks into their production processes without the need for extensive infrastructural changes. 

She added: “If this co-processing happens, then boom — we have a SAF plant. Clearly, the Middle East is uniquely positioned for this.” 

Thomsen further said that governments in the Middle East region should create investment policies in such a way that oil producers will be more attracted to co-processing. 

The use of SAF is widely considered a crucial development for the global aviation industry, as most countries have stipulated targets to achieve net zero as part of their energy transition efforts. 

According to Thomsen, the world, on its current trajectory, is expected to produce 400 million tonnes of SAF by 2050, up from an estimated 2 million tonnes in 2025 and 1 million tonnes in 2024. 

Amid this projected growth, Thomsen revealed that the world would require at least 500 million tonnes of SAF by 2050 to meet energy transition and sustainability goals. 

“On the current trajectory, we will be a 100 million tonnes short in 2050. That is a dramatic shortfall. If we do not address it today, this shortfall may be even greater by the time we reach 2050,” said Thomsen. 

She said this presents a challenge and dilemma because as long as jet engines power our flights, liquid fuels remain essential. 

“Again, I repeat, the Middle East is uniquely positioned to help the world take a big step forward if we could immediately co-process. There are also lower-carbon fuels which occur naturally in the Middle East, which the world should explore,” she added. 

Thomsen revealed that the aviation industry’s net profit margin is lower compared to other sectors, and expenses could rise as SAF gains. 

However, she made it clear that effective ways should be adopted to increase the production of the fuel, so that the energy transition targets could be achieved by 2050. 

On the opening day of the AGM, Willie Walsh, director general of IATA, also shared identical views, and said that sufficient government measures, including the implementation of effective policies, are needed to achieve decarbonization targets. 

He added that ensuring the success of the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation is crucial to offsetting carbon emissions in the aviation sector. 

Under CORSIA, an initiative launched by the International Civil Aviation Organization, airplane operators must purchase and cancel “emissions units” to offset the increase in CO2 emissions. 


Qatar and Kuwait sign tax agreement to boost economic ties 

Qatar and Kuwait sign tax agreement to boost economic ties 
Updated 8 min 3 sec ago
Follow

Qatar and Kuwait sign tax agreement to boost economic ties 

Qatar and Kuwait sign tax agreement to boost economic ties 
  • Deal seeks to eliminate all forms of double taxation on income
  • It aims to enhance cooperation in the financial sector

RIYADH: Qatar and Kuwait have signed an agreement to eliminate double taxation and prevent tax evasion and avoidance, aiming to enhance economic coordination and commercial ties. 

The accord seeks to establish a legal framework to eliminate all forms of double taxation on income and to reinforce bilateral cooperation in tax matters by aligning with international standards, the Qatar News Agency reported.

The deal was signed by Qatari Minister of Finance Ali bin Ahmed Al-Kuwari and Kuwaiti Minister of Finance and Minister of State for Economic Affairs and Investment Noura Sulaiman Al-Fassam.

The countries currently do not impose personal income tax on individuals, but both levy corporate tax on foreign entities. Qatar enforces a flat 10 percent corporate income tax, while Kuwait applies a 15 percent tax on profits earned by foreign companies operating in the country. 

“This agreement will contribute to supporting international standards of transparency through the exchange of verified financial information, as part of both countries’ commitment to strengthening coordination and cooperation in tax matters and economic relations,” Al-Kuwari said during the signing, as quoted by QNA. 

The agreement also aims to enhance commercial cooperation, broaden investment opportunities for government entities and individuals, combat tax evasion, and support neutrality and fairness in the treatment of taxpayers. 

In addition, Kuwaiti Minister Al-Fassam signed a memorandum of understanding with Saudi Arabia’s Minister of Finance, Mohammed Al-Jadaan, who led a Saudi delegation participating in the 123rd meeting of the Financial and Economic Cooperation Committee of the GCC in Kuwait. 

“During the meeting, participants discussed several topics related to enhancing financial and economic cooperation among GCC member states in a way that contributes to further joint Gulf cooperation,” Al-Jadaan said in a post on X. 

The deal, signed on the sidelines of the meeting between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, aims to enhance cooperation in the financial sector. 

“The MoU will deepen bilateral ties and foster enhanced cooperation in the financial sector, advancing the shared strategic interests of both brotherly nations,” Al-Jadaan added. 

The deal seeks to develop and strengthen ties between the two ministries and increase collaboration in support of shared interests between the two countries. 


Middle East airlines to lead global profit margins in 2025, IATA says 

Middle East airlines to lead global profit margins in 2025, IATA says 
Updated 20 min 4 sec ago
Follow

Middle East airlines to lead global profit margins in 2025, IATA says 

Middle East airlines to lead global profit margins in 2025, IATA says 
  • Global airlines are projected to record a net profit of $36 billion, with total industry revenue reaching $979 billion
  • Saudi Arabia and the UAE continue to bolster the industry as part of their economic diversification efforts

RIYADH: Middle East airlines are forecast to post the world’s highest net profit margin in 2025 of 8.7 percent, outpacing global peers, according to the latest industry report. 

The forecast, released by the International Air Transport Association during its 81st Annual General Meeting in New Delhi, also projects that airlines operating in the Middle East will generate a net profit of $6.2 billion this year — slightly up from $6.1 billion in 2024. The region is also expected to earn $27.20 per passenger.

Globally, airlines are projected to record a net profit of $36 billion, with total industry revenue reaching $979 billion — below IATA’s earlier $1 trillion estimate, due in part to macroeconomic uncertainties and supply constraints. 

The growth of the aviation sector in the Middle East reflects broader regional expansion, as countries such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE continue to bolster the industry as part of their economic diversification efforts. 

IATA Director General Willie Walsh said the first half of 2025 has brought notable uncertainty to global markets. Screenshot

In its report, IATA stated: “The Middle East will generate the highest net profit per passenger among the regions. Robust economic performance is supporting strong air travel demand, both for business and leisure travel.” 

It added: “However, with delays in aircraft delivery, the region will see limitations in capacity as airlines embark on retrofit projects to modernize their fleet, hence limiting growth.” 

According to IATA, revenue per passenger in 2025 is expected to reach $11.10 in North America, followed by $8.90 in Europe, $3.40 in Latin America, $2.60 in Asia Pacific, and $1.30 in Africa.

Global outlook 

While airlines globally are expected to earn a collective $36 billion in profit in 2025, up from $32.4 billion in 2024, the figure is slightly below the $36.6 billion projected in December. The average net profit per passenger remains modest at $7.20, according to IATA. 

IATA Director General Willie Walsh said the first half of 2025 has brought notable uncertainty to global markets. Still, he noted, airline performance is expected to surpass 2024 levels, though it will fall slightly short of earlier forecasts. 

IATA Director General Willie Walsh emphasized the importance of sustainability in aviation, urging the sector to leverage all available decarbonization tools. Screenshot

“The biggest positive driver is the price of jet fuel which has fallen 13 percent compared with 2024 and 1 percent below previous estimates,” he said. 

Walsh added: “Moreover, we anticipate airlines flying more people and more cargo in 2025 than they did in 2024, even if previous demand projections have been dented by trade tensions and falls in consumer confidence.” 

He noted that considering the headwinds, this is a strong result that “demonstrates the resilience that airlines have worked hard to fortify.” 

Operating profit for global airlines is expected to reach $66 billion in 2025, up from $61.9 billion the previous year. Total expenses are projected at $913 billion in 2025, marking a 1 percent increase from 2024. 

“Our profitability is not commensurate to the enormous value that we create at the heart of a value chain supporting 3.9 percent of global GDP and providing and supporting jobs for 86.5 million people,” said Walsh. 

Passenger revenue in 2025 is expected to increase by 1.6 percent year on year to reach an all-time high of $693 billion. 

Passenger growth, measured in revenue passenger km, is projected at 5.8 percent — a normalization following the double-digit growth during the pandemic recovery. 

Cargo revenues are expected to decline by 4.7 percent to $142 billion in 2025, driven by sluggish global economic growth and trade-dampening protectionist measures, including tariffs. 

Air cargo growth is expected to slow to 0.7 percent in 2025 from 11.3 percent in 2024. Cargo yield is also projected to decline by 5.2 percent, reflecting slower demand growth and lower oil prices. 

Fleet and backlog issue 

The IATA director general criticized aircraft manufacturers for long delivery backlogs, noting that more than 17,000 aircraft are on order, with wait times of up to 14 years, stalling growth opportunities across regions. 

“The number of deliveries scheduled for 2025 is 26 percent less than what was promised a year ago,” said Walsh. 

He warned that the backlog will negatively impact revenues as demand remains unmet, while scarcity drives up maintenance and leasing costs. 

Operating profit for global airlines is expected to reach $66 billion in 2025, up from $61.9 billion the previous year. Screenshot

“It’s just not acceptable that manufacturers estimate it could take until the end of the decade to sort this mess out,” said Walsh. 

Walsh also highlighted recent infrastructure advancements, including the opening of new secondary airports in New Delhi and Mumbai, and the phased launch of the world’s largest airport in Dubai. 

“Governments around the world are building a competitive future for aviation because they want aviation to contribute even more to their societies and economies,” added Walsh. 

Sustainability and SAF 

Walsh also emphasized the importance of sustainability in aviation, urging the sector to leverage all available decarbonization tools.

He called for global cooperation to advance decarbonization efforts.

IATA reported that sustainable aviation fuel production is expected to double in 2025 to 2 million tonnes — still only 0.7 percent of total industry fuel usage. 

The average cost of SAF in 2024 was 3.1 times higher than jet fuel, adding $1.6 billion in costs. 

In 2025, SAF is expected to cost 4.2 times more than jet fuel, primarily due to “compliance fees” levied by European fuel suppliers to hedge against the cost of meeting a 2 percent SAF mandate in jet fuel supplies. 

“The behavior of fuel suppliers in fulfilling the SAF mandates is an outrage. The cost of achieving net-zero carbon emissions by 2050 is estimated to be an enormous $4.7 trillion,” said Walsh. 

He added: “Fuel suppliers must stop profiteering on the limited SAF supplies available and ramp up production to meet the legitimate needs of their customers.” 

Walsh added that under the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation, airlines are expected to face a $1 billion cost in 2025. 

Under CORSIA, operators must purchase and cancel emissions units to offset increases in CO2 emissions. 

“CORSIA must be successful. It is a credible and verifiable system that requires carbon credits of only the highest standard, making its positive impact on climate unquestionable,” said Walsh. 


Oil Updates — crude jumps after OPEC+ sticks to same output hike in July versus June

Oil Updates — crude jumps after OPEC+ sticks to same output hike in July versus June
Updated 02 June 2025
Follow

Oil Updates — crude jumps after OPEC+ sticks to same output hike in July versus June

Oil Updates — crude jumps after OPEC+ sticks to same output hike in July versus June

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rebounded more than $1 a barrel on Monday after producer group OPEC+ decided to increase output in July by the same amount as it did in each of the prior two months, which came as a relief to those who expected a bigger increase.

Brent crude futures climbed $1.46, or 2.33 percent, to $64.24 a barrel by 9:26 a.m. Saudi time after settling 0.9 percent lower on Friday. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $62.45 a barrel, up $1.66, or 2.73 percent, following a 0.3 percent decline in the previous session.

Both contracts were down more than 1 percent last week.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies decided on Saturday to raise output by 411,000 barrels per day in July, the third month the group known as OPEC+ increased by the same amount, as it looks to wrestle back market share and punish over-producers.

The group had been expected to discuss a bigger production hike.

“Had they gone through with a surprise larger amount, then Monday’s price open would have been pretty ugly indeed,” analyst Harry Tchilinguirian of Onyx Capital Group wrote on LinkedIn.

Oil traders said the 411,000-bpd output hike had already been priced into Brent and WTI futures.

“The headline motive has centered on punishing OPEC+ members like Iraq and Kazakhstan that have persistently produced above their pledged quotas,” said the Commonwealth Bank of Australia in a note on Monday.

Kazakhstan has informed OPEC that it does not intend to reduce its oil production, according to a Thursday report by Russia’s Interfax news agency citing Kazakhstan’s deputy energy minister.

Looking ahead, Goldman Sachs analysts anticipate OPEC+ will implement a final 410,000 bpd production increase in August.

“Relatively tight spot oil fundamentals, beats in hard global activity data, and seasonal summer support to oil demand suggest that the expected demand slowdown is unlikely to be sharp enough to stop raising production when deciding on August production levels on July 6th,” the bank said in a note dated Sunday.

Meanwhile, low levels of US fuel inventories have stoked supply jitters ahead of expectations for an above-average hurricane season, analysts said.

“More encouraging was a huge spike in gasoline implied demand going into what’s considered the start of the US driving season,” ANZ analysts said in a note, adding that the gain of nearly 1 million bpd was the third-highest weekly increase in the last three years.

Traders are also closely watching the impact of lower prices on US crude production which hit an all-time high of 13.49 million bpd in March.

Last week, the number of operating oil rigs in the US fell for a fifth week, down four to 461, the lowest since November 2021, Baker Hughes said in its weekly report on Friday.