RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s capital is spearheading the Kingdom’s retail transformation, with mall rents seeing a 4 percent annual rise and 2.2 million sq. meters of shop space to be developed by 2030.

According to Knight Frank’s Spring 2025 Saudi Arabia Retail Market Overview, Riyadh accounts for the largest share of the 4.9 million sq. meters of retail developments planned across the Kingdom’s five largest cities by 2030.

These areas include Jeddah, Dammam Metropolitan Area, Khobar, and Dhahran.

The need for more retail space is evidenced by the average mall rent in the Saudi capital rising to SR2,848 ($765) per sq. meter by the end of March, according to the report, with occupancy rates up five percent to reach 92 percent in the first quarter of 2025.

The findings come as Saudi Arabia steps up efforts to become a global hub for tourism and business by the end of the decade, with the Real Estate General Authority projecting the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, driven by an anticipated compound annual growth rate of 8 percent from 2024.

According to Knight Frank, Riyadh’s retail transformation is being accelerated by a combination of population growth, both domestic and expatriate, along with rising disposable incomes.

“Developers are prioritizing experiential formats, with over half of upcoming projects incorporating entertainment zones, dining experiences, and cinemas. These trends align with Vision 2030’s objective to create vibrant, leisure-centric urban spaces,” the report said.

In Jeddah, the retail market expanded with approximately 225,000 sq. meters of new space delivered in 2024, including Phase 1 of Souq 7 and Al Bahr Mall. The city’s total retail stock reached 2.9 million sq. meters. Rents in regional and super-regional malls rose two percent to SR2,513 per sq. meter, while occupancy declined slightly to 86 percent.

Jeddah is also set to see the launch of the Jawharat Mall by Cenomi Centers, a dedicated luxury retail district spanning 87,000 sq. meters, expected to be completed by the end of 2025. Another significant development, the Cove by Ezdihar, will deliver 70,000 sq. meters along Jeddah’s waterfront.

In the Dammam Metropolitan Area, retail performance remained stable. Rents in regional and super-regional malls rose slightly to SR2,285 per sq. meter, with community centers seeing a 1.25 percent increase. Occupancy rates held steady at around 90 percent.

New supply additions of 31,000 sq. meters in 2024 brought total retail stock to 1.4 million sq. meters.

Regional malls typically range from 30,000 sq. meters to 90,000 sq. meters and offer a broad mix of retail stores and services, often anchored by one or two department stores.

Super-regional malls exceed 90,000 sq. meters and include a wider variety of retail, dining, and entertainment options, serving a larger trade area and drawing visitors from across an entire metropolitan region.

Consumer spending in Saudi Arabia grew by 7 percent year-on-year to reach SR1.41 trillion in 2024, fueled by a surge in point-of-sale and e-commerce transactions, according to Knight Frank.

Of this, point-of-sale transactions reached SR668 billion, marking a 9 percent annual increase, while e-commerce grew by 26 percent to SR197.4 billion, reflecting the Kingdom’s accelerating shift toward digital consumption

Flagship destinations such as Riyadh Park and Al Nakheel Mall have continued to benefit from strong tenant demand and rising foot traffic, driven by integrated entertainment offerings, including cinemas and family attractions.

Riyadh’s total retail supply stood at 4 million sq. meters during the first quarter, bolstered by the launch of key projects like Solitaire Riyadh, a 65,000 sq. meter development blending upscale retail with leisure experiences.

An additional 540,000 sq. meters of retail space is expected to be added in 2025, bringing the total to 5.2 million sq. meters in 2026.

The report highlights that more than half of the upcoming projects are integrating entertainment zones, dining venues, and cinemas, aligning with Vision 2030’s goals of creating vibrant, leisure-centric urban environments.

Luxury retail is also gaining momentum, with international brands expanding their footprint to meet the growing demand for premium shopping.

Omnichannel strategies are becoming critical as digital payments and e-commerce continue to reshape consumer behavior.
 
The food and beverage sector emerged as a key contributor to retail activity, with restaurants and cafes accounting for 29.7 percent of all point-of-sale transactions in 2024.
 
This translates to SR198.6 billion, according to data from the Saudi Central Bank.

Projects such as Qiddiya, The Avenues Riyadh, and Jawharat Riyadh are expected to further redefine the urban retail landscape, offering lifestyle-oriented spaces that support the Kingdom’s broader economic diversification and quality-of-life goals.

NEW DELHI: The Middle East has all the potential to emerge as a global hub for sustainable aviation fuel production thanks to co-processing opportunities available in the region, according to a top official. 

Speaking to Arab News on the sidelines of the International Air Transport Association’s Annual General Meeting in New Delhi, Marie Owens Thomsen, senior vice president of sustainability and chief economist at IATA, said that the world should act now to increase the production of SAF to meet decarbonization targets. 

This comes as the region accelerates efforts to produce the fuel, with Saudi Arabia’s Nordic Electrofuel-backed project announcing in January a Jubail plant targeting 350 million liters annually by 2029, using renewable hydrogen and solar PV. 

The UAE, meanwhile, aims for 700 million liters by 2031, supported by Emirates, Etihad, and Air Arabia. Emirates has secured over 3 million gallons from Neste for 2024–25 flights, while Shell began supplying SAF at Dubai Airport in 2023. 

In her interview, Thomsen said: “The Middle East has huge opportunities for co-processing. What we are seeing across the world is insufficient production of SAF.” 

Co-processing is the use of renewable feedstock in conventional fossil fuel units. This method allows existing traditional fuel refineries to seamlessly integrate renewable feedstocks into their production processes without the need for extensive infrastructural changes. 

She added: “If this co-processing happens, then boom — we have a SAF plant. Clearly, the Middle East is uniquely positioned for this.” 

Thomsen further said that governments in the Middle East region should create investment policies in such a way that oil producers will be more attracted to co-processing. 

The use of SAF is widely considered a crucial development for the global aviation industry, as most countries have stipulated targets to achieve net zero as part of their energy transition efforts. 

According to Thomsen, the world, on its current trajectory, is expected to produce 400 million tonnes of SAF by 2050, up from an estimated 2 million tonnes in 2025 and 1 million tonnes in 2024. 

Amid this projected growth, Thomsen revealed that the world would require at least 500 million tonnes of SAF by 2050 to meet energy transition and sustainability goals. 

“On the current trajectory, we will be a 100 million tonnes short in 2050. That is a dramatic shortfall. If we do not address it today, this shortfall may be even greater by the time we reach 2050,” said Thomsen. 

She said this presents a challenge and dilemma because as long as jet engines power our flights, liquid fuels remain essential. 

“Again, I repeat, the Middle East is uniquely positioned to help the world take a big step forward if we could immediately co-process. There are also lower-carbon fuels which occur naturally in the Middle East, which the world should explore,” she added. 

Thomsen revealed that the aviation industry’s net profit margin is lower compared to other sectors, and expenses could rise as SAF gains. 

However, she made it clear that effective ways should be adopted to increase the production of the fuel, so that the energy transition targets could be achieved by 2050. 

On the opening day of the AGM, Willie Walsh, director general of IATA, also shared identical views, and said that sufficient government measures, including the implementation of effective policies, are needed to achieve decarbonization targets. 

He added that ensuring the success of the Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation is crucial to offsetting carbon emissions in the aviation sector. 

Under CORSIA, an initiative launched by the International Civil Aviation Organization, airplane operators must purchase and cancel “emissions units” to offset the increase in CO2 emissions.