Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector to maintain growth momentum in 2025

In Riyadh’s residential sector, villas continued to dominate, accounting for 53.3 percent of the overall transactions. FIle
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Updated 27 March 2025
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Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector to maintain growth momentum in 2025

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector is expected to experience growth in 2025, fueled by the ongoing efforts of Vision 2030 to diversify the Kingdom’s economy, according to a recent analysis.

In its latest report, real estate services firm JLL highlighted that economic growth across the Gulf Cooperation Council is expected to remain strong in 2025, with Saudi Arabia leading the charge. The Kingdom’s non-oil sector is projected to expand by 5.8 percent in 2025, an increase from 4.5 percent in 2024.

JLL also noted that Saudi Arabia’s construction sector continued to perform well in 2024, with project awards totaling $29.5 billion.

A strong real estate market is critical for the Kingdom as it works to position itself as a global hub for tourism and business, reducing its long-standing dependence on oil revenues.

The Real Estate General Authority of Saudi Arabia forecasts the property market to reach $101.62 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate  of 8 percent starting in 2024.

Saud Al-Sulaimani, country head of JLL, Saudi Arabia, said: “Despite global economic headwinds, the resilience and strategic diversification efforts in Saudi Arabia, driven by Vision 2030, are a significant catalyst for real estate development, attracting both domestic and international capital.”

He added: “The flight to quality, limited vacancy in prime assets, and ambitious tourism strategies are further bolstering sustained demand across key sectors, particularly in Riyadh and Jeddah, creating a compelling investment landscape for the long term.” 

According to the report, the hospitality, mixed-use, and leisure sectors saw substantial activity, while the residential sector also performed strongly, with $7.9 billion in awards in 2024.

JLL pointed out several challenges faced by Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector, including capacity constraints, rising costs, and geopolitical conflicts.

The report emphasized that the Kingdom is tackling these challenges through increased localization efforts, ongoing infrastructure investment, and digital transformation. Additionally, regulatory reforms, improved stakeholder collaboration, and a focus on renewable energy and sustainability are key strategies to overcome these obstacles.

“Strategic projects that underpin Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 will continue to attract substantial investments, creating new opportunities for market expansion,” said Maroun Deeb, head of projects and developments for JLL in Saudi Arabia. 

He added: “Significant cash flow is anticipated for major events like the FIFA World Cup 2030 and EXPO 2030, further boosting infrastructure development and positioning the real estate sector for robust performance and positive growth in 2025 and beyond.”

In 2024, Riyadh’s office sector witnessed strong demand, while limited supply saw Grade A buildings registering a mere 0.2 percent vacancy. 

The analysis added that average rents for Grade A office spaces stood at $609 per sq. meter by the end of the fourth quarter of 2024. 

Grade A office spaces command a premium due to their prime location, infrastructure, and modern amenities.

JLL revealed that 326,000 sq. meters of gross leasable area was added to the market in 2024, while 888,600 sq. meters are awaiting in the pipeline in 2025. 

“Jeddah is emerging as a compelling alternative, attracting regional and international corporations to its modern, high-quality office spaces in the northwestern region. Dammam’s market remains stable, primarily driven by government entities,” added JLL. 

In Riyadh’s residential sector, villas continued to dominate, accounting for 53.3 percent of the overall transactions. 

Even though 28,943 units are slated for 2025 in Riyadh, new supply lags will likely drive price and rental increases. 

According to JLL, Riyadh’s hospitality industry witnessed significant growth in 2024, with average daily rates surging by 13.3 percent year on year to $239. 

The report added that Riyadh’s growth as a key business and leisure hub will continue, with 2,312 keys expected in 2025.

“As Saudi Arabia progresses with its Vision 2030 objectives, Riyadh’s hospitality market is likely to play a crucial role in supporting the Kingdom’s broader economic goals and establishing itself as a key destination for both business and leisure travelers in the region,” said JLL. 

Jeddah’s hospitality landscape, bolstered by religious and leisure tourism, also remained strong in 2024. 

The report added that upward rental rates in Riyadh and Jeddah’s industrial and logistics sectors indicate strong market activity and robust demand for enhanced logistics and warehousing capabilities. 

Regarding the data center landscape, JLL said that 5G and artificial intelligence are driving the segment’s growth. 

“Saudi Arabia, particularly Riyadh, Dammam, and Jeddah, boasts a significant data center footprint. The Kingdom ranks third in live colocation data center facilities and contributed approximately 12.6 percent of the region’s 1,050 MW operational IT load capacity by the end of 2024, positioning it well for further expansion,” concluded JLL. 


Saudi banks extend $2.4bn in home loans in Feb.; demand broadens across nationals and expats

Updated 04 April 2025
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Saudi banks extend $2.4bn in home loans in Feb.; demand broadens across nationals and expats

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s banks issued SR8.91 billion ($2.37 billion) in new residential mortgages to individuals in February — a 28.33 percent annual increase, according to official data.

Figures from the Saudi Central Bank, also known as SAMA, show that apartment lending recorded the highest growth during this period, rising by 46.45 percent to SR2.9 billion.

While houses continue to dominate residential real estate financing with a 62.6 percent share, this is down from 65.24 percent in February 2024 as demand gradually shifts toward apartments.

House loans posted strong growth of 23.05 percent, reaching SR5.57 billion, yet land financing stayed modest at SR436 million, with a minimal increase of 0.61 percent.

This momentum comes as Saudi Arabia pushes toward its Vision 2030 target of achieving 70 percent home ownership.

Demand is being fueled by citizens and a growing expatriate population. A March report by Knight Frank revealed that 72 percent of Saudis and expats aspire to own homes, with the figure soaring to 93 percent among high-income citizens earning more than SR50,000 per month. Among expats, 77 percent now express a desire to buy property in the Kingdom.

Despite the strong demand, affordability remains a challenge, according to Knight Frank — particularly in cities such as Riyadh, where apartment prices have climbed 75 percent since 2019 and villa prices are up 40 percent.

To address this, Saudi authorities are rolling out a wave of regulatory and urban planning reforms. In March, the Royal Commission for Riyadh City and the Council of Economic and Development Affairs unveiled initiatives aimed at stabilizing prices and expanding access to homeownership.

These include lifting restrictions on land transactions and development in key zones of northern Riyadh, unlocking 81.5 sq. km of land for new housing and commercial projects.

At the time, Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan said the move was expected to reduce price volatility, with new plots priced at no more than SR1,500 per sq. meter and made available to Saudi citizens over the age of 25.

As part of its broader Vision 2030 strategy, Saudi Arabia has also been liberalizing real estate laws to attract more foreign investment, especially in fast-growing sectors such as tourism, housing, and special economic zones.

In 2024, officials confirmed that new regulations are underway to expand foreign ownership rights in strategic projects such as NEOM and the Red Sea.

While foreigners can already own residential property in specific zones and access 99-year leases according to the Real Estate Saudi platform, most residential mortgages are concentrated among Saudi nationals, supported by programs like Sakani and Dhamanat.

​Foreign investment in Saudi Arabia’s commercial real estate sector is subject to specific regulations and approval processes. Foreign investors are llowed to own real estate necessary for conducting their licensed business activities, including property for offices and employee accommodation, provided they obtain the requisite approval from the Ministry of Investment.

Additionally, for real estate intended for investment purposes — such as buying, selling, or leasing — the investment must meet a minimum threshold of SR30 million, with a commitment to develop the property within five years, according to the Saudi Embassy website in the US.

These measures ensure that foreign investments align with Saudi Arabia’s broader economic objectives and development plans.


Lebanon central bank must counter money laundering and terrorist financing, new governor says

Updated 15 min 16 sec ago
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Lebanon central bank must counter money laundering and terrorist financing, new governor says

BEIRUT: Lebanon’s central bank must focus on fighting money laundering and terrorist financing, its newly appointed governor said on Friday, as he began the job of salvaging the fragile banking sector and getting it off a global watchdog’s “grey list.”

The Financial Action Task Force placed Lebanon on its list of countries requiring special scrutiny last year in a move many have worried could discourage the foreign investment it needs to recover from a 2019 financial crisis that is still felt today.

Terrorist financing and money laundering are top concerns for the US, which wants to prevent Hezbollah from using the Lebanese financial system and cash flows through the country to re-establish itself.

Karim Souaid, who was appointed last week, listed his main priorities during his official handover with the outgoing acting central bank governor who preceded him.

“The most important of these are combating money laundering and terrorist financing, and identifying and disclosing politically and financially influential individuals, their relatives, and those associated with them,” he said.

Souaid replaces interim chief Wassim Mansouri, who has been overseeing the bank since long-serving governor Riad Salameh’s tenure ended in disgrace in 2023 due to the financial implosion and accusations of embezzlement, which Salameh denies.

Triggered by widespread corruption and profligate spending by the ruling class, the financial crisis in Lebanon brought the banking system to a standstill, creating an estimated $72 billion in losses.

Souaid said the central bank would work to reschedule public debt and pay back depositors, while calling upon private banks to gradually raise their capital by injecting fresh funds.

Those banks unable or unwilling to do so, should look to merge with other institutions. Otherwise, they would be liquidated in an orderly manner, with their licenses revoked and depositors’ rights protected, he said.

Souaid also pledged to safeguard the central bank’s independence from political pressure and prevent conflicts of interest.

“I will ensure that this national institution remains independent in its decision-making, shielded from interference, and grounded in the core principles of transparency and integrity,” he said. 


Office returns: Up to 59% of firms to increase investment in workplace fit-outs by 2030, says JLL 

Updated 04 April 2025
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Office returns: Up to 59% of firms to increase investment in workplace fit-outs by 2030, says JLL 

RIYADH: The global office sector is rebounding as companies scale back hybrid employment options, increasing demand for workspaces, a new survey shows.

The study by JLL, featured in the Global Office Fit-Out Costs Guide 2025, reveals that 59 percent of organizations are increasing investments in design and fit-outs. 

The report, which analyzes data from 68 cities across 40 countries, also highlights that office fit-out costs have risen in the past 12 months across all regions surveyed, with varying degrees of increase.

According to JLL, as in previous years, the highest fit-out costs are found in the US, Canada, and the UK, as well as Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE.

Singapore and Japan also feature high in the list.

This correlates with the global office spaces market, which was valued at $3.1 trillion in 2022 and is projected to grow to $4.9 trillion by 2032. According to Allied Market Research, this represents a compound annual growth rate of 4.6 percent.

It also aligns with the growth of the office space market fueled by a rise in infrastructure projects for the commercial sector, including the development of new office buildings, business parks, and the renovation of workplaces in urban areas.

In a statement reflecting on the study, JLL’s CEO of Project and Development Services at Work Dynamics Cynthia Kantor said: “Five years following the start of the global pandemic, we continue to see the evolution and growing momentum toward the office sector.”

The JLL analysis further highlighted that multinational corporations must understand regional disparities in office fit-out costs to inform strategic planning.

Regionally, North America commands the highest office fit-out premium, with an average cost of 3,070 per sq. meter, well above the global average of 1,830 per sq. meter.

In Latin America, the average cost is 1,790, while in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, the average price is 1,970. The Asia Pacific region offers the lowest average fit-out cost at $1,460.

Significant variations in office fit-out costs also exist between major urban areas. US cities lead the top 20 municipalities with the highest office fit-out costs, alongside prominent locations like Vancouver, Tokyo, London, and Dubai.

Fast-growing cities in India, South Africa, Vietnam, and China offer some of the lowest fit-out costs despite the fact they are seeing rapid construction growth and an evolving cost landscape.

Macro-economic impacts

The JLL report further sheds light on how, in the markets evaluated, increases in fit-out costs over the past 12 months were primarily driven by inflation, rising material costs, and currency fluctuations. 

Additionally, 75 percent of the markets saw a rise in raw material prices, while 50 percent experienced labor shortages that contributed to higher construction costs.

“Organizations need to factor in these potential cost factors throughout global construction when developing their fit-out budgets,” the JLL statement said.

It added that builder works or construction account for the largest component of fit-out costs  — 37 percent —  in all regions except Latin America. 

These costs can be most susceptible to raw material prices and supply chain risks. Mechanical and electrical expenses account for the second-largest cost, varying from 20 percent to 45 percent.

Sustainability continues to fuel growing demand

The study by JLL explains that as interest in healthier, energy-efficient workspaces surges and supply struggles to meet demand, the need for sustainable fit-outs is growing.

According to the survey, 60 percent of markets have seen a rise in client inquiries for more sustainable fit-outs over the past year.

This aligns with recent JLL Future of Work research, which revealed that 66.66 percent of organizations worldwide plan to increase their investment in sustainability over the next five years.

“A large part of sustainable fit-out costs are dedicated to mechanical and electrical services, which, across all countries, were found to account for an average of 29 percent of total fit-out expenses, with some regions reporting 40-50 percent of costs,” the JLL report said.

“However, these upfront costs are often where the greatest long-term cost efficiencies can be found, as research has also shown that investing in upgrades to M&E services can save between 10 percent - 40 percent on operational energy costs, depending on the level of investment and upgrade,” it added.

Investing in energy-efficient components during fit-outs and consulting with sustainability experts early in the planning phase can help incorporate sustainability requirements and costs into decision-making, thereby minimizing the risk of late adjustments, the JLL statement justified.

Optimism for offices amid caution over potential challenges

Despite a positive outlook, office fit-out development faces several challenges.

That said, the report underlines a need for global firms to address local and regional issues such as labor shortages, talent acquisition, and material availability, as well as liquidity to ensure project success.

The report also suggests that economic and political uncertainty, particularly trade and tariff implications, continue to create instability.

Consequently, early planning for lease expirations and strategic investment in existing buildings is set to benefit both landlords and occupiers, helping to manage costs and navigate the tighter timeframes caused by hesitancy around investment.

“The global office sector faces a complex landscape of challenges and opportunities in 2025,” the Director of Research and Strategy at Work Dynamics Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, Ruth Hynes, said.

“As corporate clients grow and expand their footprints, we anticipate the office construction will remain active even amid market uncertainty, and encourage early, strategic planning to ensure the success of fit-out initiatives,” Hynes added.


Oil Updates — prices head for lowest close since depths of pandemic on trade war

Updated 12 min 2 sec ago
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Oil Updates — prices head for lowest close since depths of pandemic on trade war

  • Prices fall with global markets after Trump tariffs announcement
  • China to impose retaliatory tariffs on US

LONDON: Oil prices were heading on Friday toward their lowest close since the midst of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021, hit by US President Donald Trump’s barrage of new tariffs and output increases announced by the OPEC+ producer group.

Benchmarks tumbled further on Friday morning after China announced it will impose additional tariffs of 34 percent on all US goods from April 10.

Nations around the world have readied retaliation after Trump raised tariff barriers to their highest in more than a century, leading to a plunge in world financial markets.

Brent futures plunged by $3.48, or 5 percent, to $66.66 a barrel by 2:24 p.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures dived by $3.55, or 5.3 percent, to $63.40.
Both benchmarks were on course for their biggest weekly losses in percentage terms for half a year.

While the tariff announcement by Trump on Wednesday hurt crude prices, the impact was more severe elsewhere. Investors scrambled to the safety of bonds, the Japanese yen and gold as the news sent shockwaves through global financial markets and raised fears of recession.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other currencies, fell to 102.98 for its lowest since mid-October.

Between Trump’s tariffs and the OPEC+ output increase, “the oil complex could do little but acquiesce to the type of selling not seen since the collapse experienced during the pandemic,” oil broker PVM’s John Evans said in a note.

“That rout continues into Asia today.”

Fuelling the oil sell-off was a decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known collectively as OPEC+, to advance plans for output increases, with the group now aiming to return 411,000 barrels per day to the market in May, up from the previously planned 135,000 bpd.

Imports of oil, gas and refined products were given exemptions from Trump’s sweeping new tariffs, but the policies could stoke inflation, slow economic growth and intensify trade disputes, weighing on oil prices.

Goldman Sachs analysts responded with sharp cuts to their December 2025 targets for Brent and WTI by $5 each to $66 and $62 respectively.

“The risks to our reduced oil price forecast are to the downside, especially for 2026, given growing risks of recession and to a lesser extent of higher OPEC+ supply,” the bank’s head of oil research, Daan Struyven, said in a note.

However, analysts at Rystad Energy said oil prices could bounce back in the coming months.

“With potential supply disruptions stemming from sanctions and tariffs — on both sellers and buyers — oil prices are unlikely to stay below $70 for long,” said Mukesh Sahdev, Rystad’s global head of commodity markets. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,882.65

Updated 03 April 2025
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index slips to close at 11,882.65

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index slipped on Thursday, losing 142.40 points, or 1.18 percent, to close at 11,882.65.

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR5.53 billion ($1.47 billion), as 58 stocks advanced and 184 retreated.

Similarly, the Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 445.6 points, or 1.43 percent, to close at 30,640.93. This came as 27 listed stocks advanced while 67 retreated.

The MSCI Tadawul Index lost 20.19 points, or 1.32 percent, to close at 1,504.15.

The best-performing stock of the day was Fitaihi Holding Group, whose share price surged 9.65 percent to SR4.43.

Other top performers included Zamil Industrial Investment Co., whose share price rose 6.57 percent to SR38.85, as well as Mobile Telecommunication Co. Saudi Arabia, whose share price surged 4.97 percent to SR11.82.

Tabuk Agricultural Development Co. recorded the most significant drop, falling 8.58 percent to SR12.36.

Arabian Co. for Agricultural and Industrial Investment also saw its stock price fall 7.59 percent to SR53.60.

Raydan Food Co. also saw its stock price decline 7.44 percent to SR19.16.

Horizon Food Co. has announced the board resolution to transfer from Nomu to the main market and appoint Al-Istithmar Capital as a financial adviser for the transition. According to a Tadawul statement, the transfer is contingent upon approval from the Capital Market Authority in accordance with listing regulations and is subject to meeting all requirements set by the Saudi Exchange.

Horizon Food Co. ended the session at SR40, up 2.56 percent.

Emaar, The Economic City seeks to convert SR4.12 billion worth of debt owed to the Public Investment Fund into capital. 

The proposed debt conversion is one component of the company’s capital optimization plan announced in September, designed to stabilize the entity’s financial and operational positions as well as optimize its capital structure to boost its ability to move forward with its growth plans.

Emaar, The Economic City ended the session at SR14.44, down 0.28 percent.

The Saudi Stock Exchange has announced the suspension of trading in the shares of seven listed companies for one session on Thursday due to the firms’ failure to disclose their annual financial statements ending Dec. 31 within the statutory period specified in the Securities Offerings and Continuing Obligations Rules issued by the CMA Board.

From the main market, the firms include Saudi Industrial Development Co., Development Works Food Co., and National Gypsum Co., as well as Arabian Contracting Services Co. and Al Jouf Cement Co.

From the parallel market, the companies are Keir International Co. and Knowledge Net Co.